我国海运服务贸易影响因素技术层面分析——基于PLS模型实证检验
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摘要
首先基于波特"钻石"模型选取了影响我国服务贸易竞争力的13个指标,接着运用PLS模型实证分析了影响我国海运服务贸易竞争力的因素。结果表明,海运服务贸易开放度影响最大,其它12个指标则处于弱化地位,其中国际航行船舶中国船员注册人数、国际原油价格以及PSC检查中国籍船舶滞留对海运服务贸易影响是负相关。最后,提出了提高我国海运服务贸易竞争力的对策建议。
Under the background of economic globalization and the rapid development of the world economy,the trade in marine transport service is playing a very important role in ensuring the smooth progress of international commodity trade.However,this industry still suffers a persistent deficit in China,which is greatly mismatched with the surplus of the commodity trade industry of the country.Firstly,based on Porter's diamond model,the article selects 13 indicators that affect the competitiveness of the service trade of China and then uses the PLS model to empirically analyze the factors affecting the competitiveness of the trade in marine transport services.The results show that openness of the industry has the greatest impact,while the other 12 are still in a weakened position,among which,the number of registered Chinese crew members on international voyages,the export volume of the trade in marine transport services and the impact of international crude oil prices on the trade in marine transport services are negatively correlated.
Under the background of economic globalization and the rapid development of the world economy,the trade in marine transport service is playing a very important role in ensuring the smooth progress of international commodity trade.However,this industry still suffers a persistent deficit in China,which is greatly mismatched with the surplus of the commodity trade industry of the country.Firstly,based on Porter's diamond model,the article selects 13 indicators that affect the competitiveness of the service trade of China and then uses the PLS model to empirically analyze the factors affecting the competitiveness of the trade in marine transport services.The results show that openness of the industry has the greatest impact,while the other 12 are still in a weakened position,among which,the number of registered Chinese crew members on international voyages,the export volume of the trade in marine transport services and the impact of international crude oil prices on the trade in marine transport services are negatively correlated.
引文
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[2]郑颖.基于钻石模型的福建现代港口业竞争力研究[J].中北大学学报(社会科学版),2018,34,(5):81-86.
[3]贾大山.建设海运强国面临的挑战[J].中国船检,2017,(8).
[4]黄庆波,隋艺,李焱.中国海运企业提升出口竞争力策略研究[J].国际经济合作,2017,(2).
[5]卢仁祥.我国服务贸易与货物贸易联动关系的考察[J].统计与决策,2017,(4).
[6]杜鹏.我国海运服务贸易国际竞争力分析[J].合作经济与科技,2016,(1).
[7]范斐,刘承良.国际海运贸易能力结构关系的时空分异[J].国际经贸探索,2015,(8).