要素禀赋、制度质量与区域贫困治理——基于中国省际面板数据的实证研究
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摘要
贫困已不再是简单的饥饿、吃饱饭的问题,而是一个综合性、复杂性的发展问题。从区域贫困来看,致贫的因素是多方面的。本文基于行动资源和行动机制的视角,构建了区域贫困治理逻辑分析框架,并运用面板数据模型,对中国省际"十一五"和"十二五"时期的数据进行实证分析。研究发现,自然资源和劳动力资源禀赋条件对减贫作用呈现明显的区域差异,自然资源禀赋条件仅在东部地区产生明显的减贫效果,劳动力资源禀赋条件也仅在中部地区产生积极的减贫作用;无论是不同的发展时期还是不同的地区,技术要素禀赋条件对区域减贫作用均较为理想;资本要素禀赋条件和制度质量的减贫异常化效应则比较明显;制度质量与自然资源、资本和劳动力要素禀赋条件交互作用,在一定程度上产生了积极的减贫效果。研究认为,在区域贫困治理过程中,应积极避免"资源诅咒"现象,着力提升制度供给质量,充分利用有效的制度杠杆撬动"资源福音"。
Poverty is no longer a simple problem of hungry or eating,but a comprehensive and complexity problem of development.In the sense of regional poverty,there are a variety of factors results in poverty.Based on the action resource and action mechanism,this paper constructs the logical analysis framework of regional poverty governance,and uses the panel data model to analyze the data of 31 provinces in China during the11th Five-Year Plan and the 12th Five-Year Plan period,study shows that the endowment of natural resources and labor resources present has obvious regional difference effects on poverty reduction.That the endowment of natural resources would contribute to poverty reduction only in the eastern region,while the endowment of Labor resources works only in the central region.The research also indicates that technology elements is always effective in the reduction of regional poverty despite the stage or the areas.That the effect of Capital factors and the system quality on poverty reduction is obviously abnormal.It's easy to find that system quality interaction with technology elements,natural resources,capital factors,labor force,except the endowments of technical factor,could certainly has a positive effect on poverty reduction.To sum up,"resource curse"phenomenon should be avoid,focus on improving the quality of system supply and make full use of effective system to get the"resources gospel"in the process of regional poverty governance.
Poverty is no longer a simple problem of hungry or eating,but a comprehensive and complexity problem of development.In the sense of regional poverty,there are a variety of factors results in poverty.Based on the action resource and action mechanism,this paper constructs the logical analysis framework of regional poverty governance,and uses the panel data model to analyze the data of 31 provinces in China during the11th Five-Year Plan and the 12th Five-Year Plan period,study shows that the endowment of natural resources and labor resources present has obvious regional difference effects on poverty reduction.That the endowment of natural resources would contribute to poverty reduction only in the eastern region,while the endowment of Labor resources works only in the central region.The research also indicates that technology elements is always effective in the reduction of regional poverty despite the stage or the areas.That the effect of Capital factors and the system quality on poverty reduction is obviously abnormal.It's easy to find that system quality interaction with technology elements,natural resources,capital factors,labor force,except the endowments of technical factor,could certainly has a positive effect on poverty reduction.To sum up,"resource curse"phenomenon should be avoid,focus on improving the quality of system supply and make full use of effective system to get the"resources gospel"in the process of regional poverty governance.
引文
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[21]王国敏.农业自然灾害与农村贫困问题研究[J].经济学家,2005(3):55-61.
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[23]关爱萍,李静宜.人力资本、社会资本与农户贫困---基于甘肃省贫困村的实证分析[J].教育与经济,2007(1):66-74.
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[25]刘华容.基于资本缺失的我国农村贫困问题研究[J].财经理论与实践,2011(3):99-103.
[26]王曙光.民族地区金融反贫困中的资本整合、文化融合与体制磨合:新疆案例[J].农村经济,2009(11):3-8.
[27]MORDUCH J.Income Smoothing and Consumption Smoothing[J].Journal of Economic Perspectives,1995(3):103-114.
[28]赵曼,程翔宇.劳动力外流对农村家庭贫困的影响研究---基于湖北省四大片区的调查[J].中国人口科学,2016(3):104-113.
[29]BLACK R,CASTALDO A.Return Migration and Entrepreneurship in Ghana and Cote D'lvoire[J].Journal of Economic and Social Geography,2009,100(1):44-58.
[30]李志平,李颖,王田野.人口素质对贫困地区发展的影响及对策[J].理论探索,2000(5):52-53.
[31]江蕾,安慧霞,朱华.中国科技投入对经济增长贡献率的实际测度:1953-2005[J].自然辩证法通讯,2007(5):50-56.
[32]马超,吴振磊.贫困地区扶贫载体建设研究[J].经济纵横,2010(3):46-50.
[33]张莉.科技进步、人力资本与西部地区农村贫困减缓--基于省级面板数据的实证研究[J].科学学与科学技术管理,2015(3):172-180.
[34]褚琳,劲草.科技扶贫是摆脱贫困的根本途径[J].科学·经济·社会,1999(2):3-6.
[35]DOUGLASS N C,THOMAS R P.The Rise of the Western World:A New Economic History[M].Cambridge:Cambridge University Press,1973.
[36]ACEMOGLU D,JOHNSON S,ROBINSON J.Reversal of Fortune Geography and Institutions in the Making of the Modern World Income Distribution[J].Quarterly Journal of Economics,2002,107(4):1231-1294.
[37]罗小芳,卢现祥.制度质量:衡量与价值[J].国外社会科学,2011(2):43.
[38]何雄浪,姜泽林.自然资源禀赋、制度质量与经济增长--一个理论分析框架和计量实证检验[J].西南民族大学学报(人文社科版),2017(1):134-144.
[39]ROBINSON J A,TORVIK R,VERDIER T.Political Foundations of the Resource Curse[J].Journal of Development Economics,2006(79):447-468.
[40]LIBMAN A.Natural Resources and Sub-national Economic Performance:Does Sub-national Democracy Matter?[J].Energy Economics,2013(37):82-99.
[41]陈锡文,韩俊.如何推进农民土地使用权合理流转[J].中国改革(农村版),2002(3):37-39.
[42]丁琳琳,吴群.财产权制度、资源禀赋与农民土地财产性收入---基于江苏省1744份农户问卷调查的实证研究[J].云南财经大学学报,2015(3):80-88.
[43]严成,王弟海,龚六堂.政府财政政策对经济增长的影响---基于一个资本积累与创新相互作用模型的分析[J].南开经济研究,2010(1):51-65.
[44]范祚军,关伟.差别化区域金融调控的一个分区方法---基于系统聚类分析方法的应用[J].管理世界,2008(4):36-47.
[45]范柏乃,段忠贤,江蕾.中国自主创新政策的效应及其时空差异--基于省际面板数据的实证检验[J].经济地理,2013(08):31-36.
[46]王军,邹广平,石先进.制度变迁对中国经济增长的影响---基于VAR模型的实证研究[J].中国工业经济,2013(6):70-82.
[47]何雄浪,姜泽林.自然资源禀赋、制度质量与经济增长---一个理论分析框架和计量实证检验[J].西南民族大学学报(人文社科版),2017(1):134-144.
[48]马丁·瑞沃林.贫困的比较[M].北京:北京大学出版社,2005:57-58.
[49]张俊良,闫东东.多维禀赋条件、地理空间溢出与区域贫困治理[J].中国人口科学,2016(5):39.
[50]葛顺奇,刘晨,罗伟.外商直接投资的减贫效应:基于流动人口的微观分析[J].国际贸易问题,2016(1):82-92.
[2]党国英.脱贫攻坚进程中易地扶贫搬迁研究的拓展与深化[J].生态经济,2017(1):200.
[3]GRAY L C,MOSELEY W G.A Geographical Perspective on Poverty-Environment Interactions[J].The Geographical Journal,2005,171(1):9-23.
[4]MINOT N,BAULCH.Spatial Patterns of Poverty in Vietnam and Their Implications for Policy[J].Food Policy,2005(5):461-475.
[5]杜辉,潘泽江.扶贫开发工作中的区域协调:剖析与展望[J].财贸研究,2009(5):1-8.
[6]何深静,刘玉亭,吴缚龙,等.中国大城市低收入邻里及其居民的贫困集聚度和贫困决定因素[J].地理学报,2010(12):1464-1475.
[7]周圆圆.地理空间溢出、禀赋条件差异与区域贫困集聚--基于空间计量模型的实证分析[J].科学决策,2013(6):13-23.
[8]CRANDALL M S,WEBER B A.Local Social and Economic Conditions,Spatial Concentrations of Poverty,and Poverty Dyanmics[J].American Journal of Agricultural Economics,2004(5):473-497.
[9]RICHARD P J,KUNAL S.It is Where You Are that Matters:The Spatial Determinants of Rural Poverty in India[J].Agricultural Economics,2006(4):229-242.
[10]曲玮,涂勤,牛叔文.贫困与地理环境关系的相关研究述评[J].甘肃社会科学,2010(1):103-107.
[11]RUPASINGHA A,GOETZ S J.Social and Political Forces as Determinants of Poverty:A Spatial Analysis[J].Journal of Socio-Economics,2007(4):650-671.
[12]SUAN-PHENG K,MAHABUB H,et al.Spatial Patterns of Rural Poverty and Their Relationship with Welfare-Influencing Factors in Bangladesh[J].Food Policy,2005(6):551-567.
[13]MUNSHI K,ROSENZWEIG M.Traditional Institutions Meet the Modern World:Caste,Gender and Schooling Choice in a Globalizing Economy[J].American Economic Review,2006,96(4):1225-1252.
[14][日本]速水佑次郎,神门善久.发展经济学---从贫困到富裕[M].北京:社会科学文献出版社,2012:165.
[15]吴永红.区域发展中的区域贫困---兼论福利制度的区域安排[J].理论与改革,2011(2):89-91.
[16][印度]阿玛蒂亚·森.贫困与饥荒[M].北京:商务印书馆,2014:62.
[17]张俊良,闫东东.多维禀赋条件、地理空间溢出与区域贫困治理[J].中国人口科学,2016(5):36.
[18]罗楚亮.经济增长、收入差距与农村贫困[J].经济研究,2012(2):15-27.
[19]罗庆,李小建.国外农村贫困地理研究进展[J].经济地理,2014(6):1-8.
[20]曲玮,涂勤,牛叔文,胡苗.自然地理环境的贫困效应检验---自然地理条件对农村贫困影响的实证分析[J].中国农村经济,2012(2):21-34.
[21]王国敏.农业自然灾害与农村贫困问题研究[J].经济学家,2005(3):55-61.
[22]丁文广,冶伟峰,米璇,等.甘肃省不同地理区域灾害与贫困耦合关系量化研究[J].经济地理,2013(3):28-35.
[23]关爱萍,李静宜.人力资本、社会资本与农户贫困---基于甘肃省贫困村的实证分析[J].教育与经济,2007(1):66-74.
[24]MICHAEL W.Social Capital and Economic Development:Toward a Theoretical Synthesis and Policy Framework[J].Theory and Society,1998(68):2756-2795.
[25]刘华容.基于资本缺失的我国农村贫困问题研究[J].财经理论与实践,2011(3):99-103.
[26]王曙光.民族地区金融反贫困中的资本整合、文化融合与体制磨合:新疆案例[J].农村经济,2009(11):3-8.
[27]MORDUCH J.Income Smoothing and Consumption Smoothing[J].Journal of Economic Perspectives,1995(3):103-114.
[28]赵曼,程翔宇.劳动力外流对农村家庭贫困的影响研究---基于湖北省四大片区的调查[J].中国人口科学,2016(3):104-113.
[29]BLACK R,CASTALDO A.Return Migration and Entrepreneurship in Ghana and Cote D'lvoire[J].Journal of Economic and Social Geography,2009,100(1):44-58.
[30]李志平,李颖,王田野.人口素质对贫困地区发展的影响及对策[J].理论探索,2000(5):52-53.
[31]江蕾,安慧霞,朱华.中国科技投入对经济增长贡献率的实际测度:1953-2005[J].自然辩证法通讯,2007(5):50-56.
[32]马超,吴振磊.贫困地区扶贫载体建设研究[J].经济纵横,2010(3):46-50.
[33]张莉.科技进步、人力资本与西部地区农村贫困减缓--基于省级面板数据的实证研究[J].科学学与科学技术管理,2015(3):172-180.
[34]褚琳,劲草.科技扶贫是摆脱贫困的根本途径[J].科学·经济·社会,1999(2):3-6.
[35]DOUGLASS N C,THOMAS R P.The Rise of the Western World:A New Economic History[M].Cambridge:Cambridge University Press,1973.
[36]ACEMOGLU D,JOHNSON S,ROBINSON J.Reversal of Fortune Geography and Institutions in the Making of the Modern World Income Distribution[J].Quarterly Journal of Economics,2002,107(4):1231-1294.
[37]罗小芳,卢现祥.制度质量:衡量与价值[J].国外社会科学,2011(2):43.
[38]何雄浪,姜泽林.自然资源禀赋、制度质量与经济增长--一个理论分析框架和计量实证检验[J].西南民族大学学报(人文社科版),2017(1):134-144.
[39]ROBINSON J A,TORVIK R,VERDIER T.Political Foundations of the Resource Curse[J].Journal of Development Economics,2006(79):447-468.
[40]LIBMAN A.Natural Resources and Sub-national Economic Performance:Does Sub-national Democracy Matter?[J].Energy Economics,2013(37):82-99.
[41]陈锡文,韩俊.如何推进农民土地使用权合理流转[J].中国改革(农村版),2002(3):37-39.
[42]丁琳琳,吴群.财产权制度、资源禀赋与农民土地财产性收入---基于江苏省1744份农户问卷调查的实证研究[J].云南财经大学学报,2015(3):80-88.
[43]严成,王弟海,龚六堂.政府财政政策对经济增长的影响---基于一个资本积累与创新相互作用模型的分析[J].南开经济研究,2010(1):51-65.
[44]范祚军,关伟.差别化区域金融调控的一个分区方法---基于系统聚类分析方法的应用[J].管理世界,2008(4):36-47.
[45]范柏乃,段忠贤,江蕾.中国自主创新政策的效应及其时空差异--基于省际面板数据的实证检验[J].经济地理,2013(08):31-36.
[46]王军,邹广平,石先进.制度变迁对中国经济增长的影响---基于VAR模型的实证研究[J].中国工业经济,2013(6):70-82.
[47]何雄浪,姜泽林.自然资源禀赋、制度质量与经济增长---一个理论分析框架和计量实证检验[J].西南民族大学学报(人文社科版),2017(1):134-144.
[48]马丁·瑞沃林.贫困的比较[M].北京:北京大学出版社,2005:57-58.
[49]张俊良,闫东东.多维禀赋条件、地理空间溢出与区域贫困治理[J].中国人口科学,2016(5):39.
[50]葛顺奇,刘晨,罗伟.外商直接投资的减贫效应:基于流动人口的微观分析[J].国际贸易问题,2016(1):82-92.