基于城市首位度的中国东部地区经济增长对策
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摘要
在区域经济发展过程中,以首位城市为核心的城市群凭借其辐射作用以及集聚效应,加快了区域经济增长步伐。本文以东部地区城市发展的特征和城市结构布局为出发点,运用东部地区1987-2017年面板数据进行分析,探究东部地区各区域城市首位度对其经济发展的影响。结果发现,城市首位度的确是经济增长的原因之一,但其对经济增长的影响通常存在一定的滞后期。最后,结合东部地区实际提出如下建议:改善首位城市规模结构,提高经济效益;转型传统城市首位度、完善城市体系;改革首位城市体制机制,强化创新能力;促进区域首位城市协作、打造跨区域互补型产业基地;建立各层次城市间的协调发展机制,推动城市圈做大做强。
In the process of regional economic development, urban agglomeration with the first city as the core accelerates the pace of regional economic growth by virtue of its radiation effect and agglomeration effect. In order to explore the impact of urban primacy index on its economic development in the provinces of the eastern region in China, this paper proposes economic growth countermeasures in eastern China. Based on the data from 1987 to 2017, the Granger causality test is constructed. It is found that urban primacy index is indeed one of the reasons for economic growth, but its impact on economic growth usually has a lag period. Finally, combined with the actual situation of the eastern region, the following suggestions are put forward: improving the scale structure of the first city to increase economic benefits; transforming the primacy of traditional cities and improving the urban system; reforming the system and mechanism of the first city, and strengthening the innovation ability; promoting the cooperation of the first cities of the provinces and building cross-province complementary industrial base; establishing a coordinated development mechanism among cities at all levels to make the urban circle bigger and stronger.
In the process of regional economic development, urban agglomeration with the first city as the core accelerates the pace of regional economic growth by virtue of its radiation effect and agglomeration effect. In order to explore the impact of urban primacy index on its economic development in the provinces of the eastern region in China, this paper proposes economic growth countermeasures in eastern China. Based on the data from 1987 to 2017, the Granger causality test is constructed. It is found that urban primacy index is indeed one of the reasons for economic growth, but its impact on economic growth usually has a lag period. Finally, combined with the actual situation of the eastern region, the following suggestions are put forward: improving the scale structure of the first city to increase economic benefits; transforming the primacy of traditional cities and improving the urban system; reforming the system and mechanism of the first city, and strengthening the innovation ability; promoting the cooperation of the first cities of the provinces and building cross-province complementary industrial base; establishing a coordinated development mechanism among cities at all levels to make the urban circle bigger and stronger.
引文
[1]徐长生,周志鹏.城市首位度与经济增长[J].财经科学,2014,(9).
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[11]徐长生.城市首位度与经济增长[J].财经科学,2014,(9).
[12]张璇.城市首位度的理论内涵与体系构建研究[J].企业导报,2012,(16).
[13]贺立松,王洋洋.区域经济发展问题研究---以淄博市为例[J].现代农业科技,2016,(14).
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[15]花晨,陈文喆,黄新建.基于中心城市最优规模的江西城市结构体系研究[J].企业经济,2015,(5).
[16]张新芝,孔凡斌.东中西部区域产业转移发展态势及对策建议[J].南昌大学学报(人文社会科学版),2015,(6).
[2]卢学法,申绘芳.杭州城市首位度的现状以及对策研究[J].浙江统计,2008,(6).
[3]王俊,李佐军.拥挤效应、经济增长与最优城市规模[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2014,(7).
[4]藤田昌久,保罗·克鲁格曼,安东尼·J·维纳布尔斯,著.梁琦,译.空间经济学:城市、区域与国际贸易[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社,2011.
[5]朱军,刘艳.城市首位度的内涵和研究状况概述及评价体系构建[J].大众科技,2015,(3).
[6]程开明,庄燕杰.中国中部地区城市体系规模分布及演进机制探析[J].地理科学,2013,(12).
[7]J.V.Henderson.Ways to Think about Urban Concentration:Neoclassical Urban Systems versus the New Economic Geography[J].International Regional Science Review,1999,19:31-36.
[8]李宝礼,胡雪萍.区域经济增长与最优城市首位度的实证研究[J].统计与决策,2018,(7).
[9]周志鹏,徐长生.龙头带动还是均衡发展---城市首位度与经济增长的空间计量分析[J].经济经纬,2014,(5).
[10]陈文喆.城市首位度最优规模的实证检验[J].统计与决策,2017,(5).
[11]徐长生.城市首位度与经济增长[J].财经科学,2014,(9).
[12]张璇.城市首位度的理论内涵与体系构建研究[J].企业导报,2012,(16).
[13]贺立松,王洋洋.区域经济发展问题研究---以淄博市为例[J].现代农业科技,2016,(14).
[14]雷仲敏,康俊杰.城市首位度评价:理论框架与实证分析[J].城市发展研究,2010,(4).
[15]花晨,陈文喆,黄新建.基于中心城市最优规模的江西城市结构体系研究[J].企业经济,2015,(5).
[16]张新芝,孔凡斌.东中西部区域产业转移发展态势及对策建议[J].南昌大学学报(人文社会科学版),2015,(6).