湖南武陵源景区旅游活动周末效应的测定
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摘要
旅游作为一种日常休闲活动,受作息制度和假日安排的影响。旅游活动周末效应的概念,特指双休日景区客流量远高于普通工作日的现象,依据2011-2012年各周实时滚动数据,对湖南武陵源景区周末效应进行了定性观察、定量测算及频率分布统计,结果显示:年内普通周周六客流量均高于周日客流量,工作日内客流量周五最高;周末效应均值季节性差异显著,淡季高于平季,平季高于旺季;周末效应频率分布存在淡旺季差异,旅游淡季与旺季下的周末效应基本符合正态分布;旅游活动平季,周末效应呈偏态分布。实证研究表明,景区旅游确实存在显著的周末效应,该发现可对景区客流量分流调控及相关服务与接待工作提供参考。
As a daily leisure activity,tourism is affected by work and rest schedule and holiday arrangement. Weekend effect determination of tourism activities refers to the phenomenon that residents are more likely to travel over the weekends. Based on the related data of every week from 2011 to 2012,the research implements qualitative observation,quantitative measurement and frequency distribution statistics on the weekend effects of Wulingyuan Scenic Area. The results show that: The number of visitors on Saturday is higher than that of Sunday,and the number of visitors on Friday is the highest during the working days; there are seasonal differences of mean value over the weekend effects,for the off-season is higher than the shoulder seasons,which is higher than the peak seasons; the frequency distribution of weekend effect is different in peak and low seasons,and the weekend effect of tourism in low and high seasons basically conforms to the normal distribution; in shoulder seasons,the weekend effect is in skewness. The empirical study shows that the tourism in the scenic area does have a significant weekend effect,and this finding can provide a reference for the regulation of tourist flow diversion and the related services and reception work.
As a daily leisure activity,tourism is affected by work and rest schedule and holiday arrangement. Weekend effect determination of tourism activities refers to the phenomenon that residents are more likely to travel over the weekends. Based on the related data of every week from 2011 to 2012,the research implements qualitative observation,quantitative measurement and frequency distribution statistics on the weekend effects of Wulingyuan Scenic Area. The results show that: The number of visitors on Saturday is higher than that of Sunday,and the number of visitors on Friday is the highest during the working days; there are seasonal differences of mean value over the weekend effects,for the off-season is higher than the shoulder seasons,which is higher than the peak seasons; the frequency distribution of weekend effect is different in peak and low seasons,and the weekend effect of tourism in low and high seasons basically conforms to the normal distribution; in shoulder seasons,the weekend effect is in skewness. The empirical study shows that the tourism in the scenic area does have a significant weekend effect,and this finding can provide a reference for the regulation of tourist flow diversion and the related services and reception work.
引文
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[20]朱民武.融券卖空与周末效应:来自A股市场的经验证据[J].贵州财经大学学报,2015(1):33-43.
(1)CNbeta(中国业界资讯网),英国医学杂志:http://www.199it.com/archives/381894.html.2015-09-18。
[2]段春锋,缪启龙,马利,等.长江三角洲地区气温变化的周末效应[J].长江流域资源与环境,2012,21(4):482-488.
[3]雷瑜,张小玲,唐宜西,等.北京城市PM2. 5及主要污染气体“周末效应”和“假日效应”研究[J].环境科学学报,2015,35(5):1520-1528.
[4]唐文苑,赵春生,等.上海地区臭氧周末效应研究[J].中国科学,2009,39(1):99-105.
[5]孙根年,周瑞娜.骊山景区年内客流量峰林结构及成因分析[J].人文地理,2011(3):128-134.
[6]WILLIAMS A T,ZELINSKY W. On some patterns of inter-nationals tourist flows[J]. Economic Geography,1970,46(4):549-567.
[7]JEAN D G,MARY F. Devaluation and US tourism expendi-ture in Mexico[J]. Annals of Tourism Research,1985,12(4):547-561.
[8]HUI T K,YUEN C. A study in the seasonal variation ofJapanese tourist arrivals in Singapore[J]. Tourism Man-agement,2002,23(2):127-131.
[9]JANG S C. Mitigating tourism seasonality:A quantitativeapproach[J]. Annals of Tourism Research,2004,31(4):819-836.
[10]马耀峰,李永军.中国入境后旅游流的空间分布研究[J].人文地理,2011(6):44-46.
[11]孙根年,马丽君.西安旅游气候舒适度与客流量年内变化相关性分析[J].旅游学刊,2007(7):34-39.
[12]马丽君,孙根年.中国东部沿海延边城市旅游气候舒适度评价[J].地理科学进展,2009,28(5):713-722.
[13]张捷,都金康,周寅康,等.观光旅游地客流时间分布特征的比较研究[J].地理科学,1999,(1):49-54.
[14]黄成林.黄山、九华山客流季节分布和国内客源市场比较研究[J].安徽师范大学学报(自然科学版),1999(4):121-133.
[15]陆琳,宣国富.海滨型与山岳型旅游地客流季节性比较:以三亚、北海、普陀山、黄山、九华山为例[J].地理学报,2002(6):731-740.
[16]程遂营.基于旅游活动背景的我国现行休假制度争议[J].人文地理,2006(5):51-54.
[17]黄先开,张丽峰,丁于思.百度指数与旅游景区游客量的关系与预测研究:以北京故宫为例[J].旅游学刊,2013,28(11):93-100.
[18]张铁生,孙根年.旅游地客流量峰林结构及成因探析:湖南凤凰入境旅游与国内旅游的比较[J].旅游科学,2014,28(1):44-53.
[19]刘昌雪,汪德根.城市居民双休日休闲旅游行为特征分析:以合肥市为例[J].黄山学院学报,2005,7(5):35-37.
[20]朱民武.融券卖空与周末效应:来自A股市场的经验证据[J].贵州财经大学学报,2015(1):33-43.
(1)CNbeta(中国业界资讯网),英国医学杂志:http://www.199it.com/archives/381894.html.2015-09-18。