日本参与“一带一路”倡议的政治和经济逻辑
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摘要
"一带一路"倡议坚持共商共建共享的基本原则,为不同国家和地区探索更加适宜自身的发展模式,提供了一个开放性的倡议框架。日本参与"一带一路"倡议具有政治和经济逻辑。一方面,日本民族国民性中的实用主义心态和日本摆脱西方大国的政治羁绊、谋求更强政治独立性与多边合作的政治愿景,分别从历史和现实的维度支撑其参与"一带一路"倡议。另一方面,日本经济经历了近20年的低迷增速,目前受到人口老龄化等供给侧因素的困扰。中日经济结构具有较强的互补性,在"一带一路"框架下,中日双方有广阔的合作前景。如果日本能够成功把握"一带一路"建设机遇,在基础设施投融资和国际劳工流动等领域与中国开展务实合作,就有机会实现中日双方的互利共赢。
The Belt and Road Initiative adheres to the basic principles of extensive consultation, joint contribution and shared benefits, and provides an open framework for different countries and regions to explore more suitable models for their own development. This paper analyzes the political and economic logic of Japan's participation in the Belt and Road Initiative. On the one hand, from the perspective of both history and reality, the pragmatic mentality of Japan's national character and Japan's political vision to get rid of the Western powers and seek stronger political independence and multilateral cooperation supports their participation in the Belt and Road initiative. On the other hand, Japan's economy has experienced nearly 20 years of sluggish growth, and is currently plagued by supply-side factors such as population aging. The economic structure of China and Japan well complements each other. Under the framework of the Belt and Road Initiative of multilateral openness, China and Japan have broad prospects for cooperation. If Japan can successfully grasp the opportunity and cooperate with China in infrastructure investment and financing, international labor mobility and so on, there would be opportunity for mutual benefits and a win-win situation between China and Japan.
The Belt and Road Initiative adheres to the basic principles of extensive consultation, joint contribution and shared benefits, and provides an open framework for different countries and regions to explore more suitable models for their own development. This paper analyzes the political and economic logic of Japan's participation in the Belt and Road Initiative. On the one hand, from the perspective of both history and reality, the pragmatic mentality of Japan's national character and Japan's political vision to get rid of the Western powers and seek stronger political independence and multilateral cooperation supports their participation in the Belt and Road initiative. On the other hand, Japan's economy has experienced nearly 20 years of sluggish growth, and is currently plagued by supply-side factors such as population aging. The economic structure of China and Japan well complements each other. Under the framework of the Belt and Road Initiative of multilateral openness, China and Japan have broad prospects for cooperation. If Japan can successfully grasp the opportunity and cooperate with China in infrastructure investment and financing, international labor mobility and so on, there would be opportunity for mutual benefits and a win-win situation between China and Japan.
引文
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[6]刘阳.日本各界积极评价安倍访华成果[N].中国社会科学报,2018-11-07.
[7]杨伯江,刘瑞.“一带一路”推进过程中的日本因素[M].北京:中国社会科学出版社,2016.
[8]秦兵.中日经贸合作回顾与展望[J].东北亚经济研究,2018,2(5):31-43.
[9]张晓兰.中日经贸关系新动向及合作契机[J].中国物价,2018(12):19-21.
[10]朱宇.中国—东北亚国家年鉴(2018)[M].北京:社会科学文献出版社,2018:791-792.
[11]闫春,李斌.“一带一路”背景下深化中国国际技术合作的对策[J].河北大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2018,43(2):116-125.
[12]马文秀,乔敏健.“一带一路”国家投资便利化水平测度与评价[J].河北大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2016,41(5):85-94.
[13]中国民生银行研究院,日本经济发展兴衰的启示与借鉴[J].中国商界,2017(z1):90-95.
[14]田雪原.中国人口素质步入全面提升新阶段[J].东岳论丛,2018(1):24-35.
[2]张碧波.中日关系史论[M].北京:中国文史出版社,2016:1.
[3]邹圣婴,陈强.“一带一路”视野下的东方外交史:发展与前瞻——第十届“东方外交史”学术研讨会综述[J].日本问题研究,2018(6):78-80.
[4]陆旸,蔡昉.人口结构变化对潜在增长率的影响:中国和日本的比较[J].世界经济,2014(1):3-29.
[5]廉德瑰.战略考量与日本对“一带一路”态度的转变[J].日本问题研究,2018(5):1-6.
[6]刘阳.日本各界积极评价安倍访华成果[N].中国社会科学报,2018-11-07.
[7]杨伯江,刘瑞.“一带一路”推进过程中的日本因素[M].北京:中国社会科学出版社,2016.
[8]秦兵.中日经贸合作回顾与展望[J].东北亚经济研究,2018,2(5):31-43.
[9]张晓兰.中日经贸关系新动向及合作契机[J].中国物价,2018(12):19-21.
[10]朱宇.中国—东北亚国家年鉴(2018)[M].北京:社会科学文献出版社,2018:791-792.
[11]闫春,李斌.“一带一路”背景下深化中国国际技术合作的对策[J].河北大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2018,43(2):116-125.
[12]马文秀,乔敏健.“一带一路”国家投资便利化水平测度与评价[J].河北大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2016,41(5):85-94.
[13]中国民生银行研究院,日本经济发展兴衰的启示与借鉴[J].中国商界,2017(z1):90-95.
[14]田雪原.中国人口素质步入全面提升新阶段[J].东岳论丛,2018(1):24-35.