中国开放型经济发展的绩效评价与反思
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摘要
文章从开放基础、开放规模、开放结构、开放效益、开放潜力和开放承受力六个层面,构建了包含40项指标的开放型经济发展绩效评价指标体系,运用改进熵值法对中国1995—2014年的开放型经济发展水平进行了综合评价,进而对中国开放型经济发展历程进行反思。研究结果表明:中国开放型经济发展绩效得分呈现不断上升趋势,且其发展历程可分为层次鲜明的三个阶段;制约开放型经济发展的短板已由1995年开放效益和开放规模转变为2014年开放承受力与开放潜力;部分具体指标出现反常变化印证了中国开放型经济发展正面临着转型升级的挑战。结合分析结果,文章从开放型经济发展体制改革、发展模式、发展结构和"双向开放"发展四个方面对中国开放型经济发展历程进行了反思。
This paper constructs a performance evaluation index system for the development China's open economy comprising 40 indicators underlying six factors:opening foundation,opening scale,opening structure,opening benefit,opening potential,and opening resilience.Using an improved entropy method,this paper makes comprehensive evaluation of the levels of open economy development in China during 1995 to 2014,and reflects on the evolution of the China's open economy.Results show that the level of development of China's open economy witnessed a rising trend.In principle,it has undergone three distinct stages.The constraining factors impeding China's open economy development has changed from opening benefit and opening scale in 1995 to opening tolerance and opening potential in 2014.The anomalous change of some specific indicators confirms that China's open economy is facing the challenge brought out by transformation and upgrading.In view of the analysis,it proceeds to reflect on the evolution of the China's open economy from four different perspectives,reform of open economy development system,development mode,structure of development,and "two-way opening" development.It is expected to provide a scientific reference for our country to move to a higher level of open economy.
This paper constructs a performance evaluation index system for the development China's open economy comprising 40 indicators underlying six factors:opening foundation,opening scale,opening structure,opening benefit,opening potential,and opening resilience.Using an improved entropy method,this paper makes comprehensive evaluation of the levels of open economy development in China during 1995 to 2014,and reflects on the evolution of the China's open economy.Results show that the level of development of China's open economy witnessed a rising trend.In principle,it has undergone three distinct stages.The constraining factors impeding China's open economy development has changed from opening benefit and opening scale in 1995 to opening tolerance and opening potential in 2014.The anomalous change of some specific indicators confirms that China's open economy is facing the challenge brought out by transformation and upgrading.In view of the analysis,it proceeds to reflect on the evolution of the China's open economy from four different perspectives,reform of open economy development system,development mode,structure of development,and "two-way opening" development.It is expected to provide a scientific reference for our country to move to a higher level of open economy.
引文
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[7]王晓亮,王英.区域开放型经济发展水平评价指标体系构建[J].地域研究与开发,2013,32(3):27-31.
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[11]殷阿娜,王厚双.中国开放型经济转型升级的路径研究——基于绩效评估[J].经济问题探索,2014(4):106-110.
[12]张应武,李董林.基于动态因子分析法的区域开放型经济发展水平测度研究[J].工业技术经济,2017(3):123-130.
[2]黄伟新,龚新蜀.我国沿边地区开放型经济发展水平评价及影响因素的实证分析[J].经济问题探索,2014(1):39-45.
[3]何计文,邓玲.基于改进的TOPSIS法的开放型经济发展水平的测度与比较——以长江经济带省市为例[J].东南学术,2016(2):79-86.
[4]孙敬水,林晓炜.开放型经济的评价体系研究进展[J].国际经贸探索,2016,32(2):34-47.
[5]唐海燕.开放型经济新体制“新”在哪里?[J].经济研究,2014(1):25-26.
[6]王洪庆.我国地区开放型经济发展水平动态变化趋势研究[J].江西财经大学学报,2015(4):3-12.
[7]王晓亮,王英.区域开放型经济发展水平评价指标体系构建[J].地域研究与开发,2013,32(3):27-31.
[8]肖俊夫,林勇.内陆开放型经济指标评价体系的构建[J].统计与决策,2009(9):46-48.
[9]叶宗裕.关于多指标综合评价中指标正向化和无量纲化方法的选择[J].统计科学与实践,2003(4):24-25.
[10]殷阿娜,王厚双.中国开放型经济发展绩效评估研究[J].当代经济管理,2015,37(8):1-4.
[11]殷阿娜,王厚双.中国开放型经济转型升级的路径研究——基于绩效评估[J].经济问题探索,2014(4):106-110.
[12]张应武,李董林.基于动态因子分析法的区域开放型经济发展水平测度研究[J].工业技术经济,2017(3):123-130.