财政教育欠账影响了经济增长吗?——基于全国省级面板数据的实证研究
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摘要
财政教育经费作为我国人力资本积累的核心要素,对经济增长至关重要。研究在梳理以往研究文献的基础上,对财政教育投入影响经济增长的逻辑机理进行了重新审视,归纳出了财政教育投入影响经济增长的两大逻辑途径,以此两大逻辑途径为基础,构建了实证分析模型,结合1996—2015年中国大陆31个省、自治区和直辖市的面板数据,分别对财政教育欠账和教育人力资本对经济增长的影响效应及其地区间的差异和变化规律进行了实证分析,并提出相应的建议与启示。
As one of determinants of China's human capital accumulation,government expenditure on education is crucial to economic growth.With reviewing the previous research literature,this paper re-examines the logical mechanism of the influence of government educational expenditure on economic growth,has summed up two logical ways how the expenditure on education affects economic growth,and builds an empirical analysis model on the basis of the two logical approaches.By incorporating the panel data of all provinces of mainland China from 1996 to 2015,the paper respectively analyzes the effects of the deficient government expenditure on education and educational human capital on economic growth and differences and changes between regions as well.Suggestions and recommendations are put forward accordingly.
As one of determinants of China's human capital accumulation,government expenditure on education is crucial to economic growth.With reviewing the previous research literature,this paper re-examines the logical mechanism of the influence of government educational expenditure on economic growth,has summed up two logical ways how the expenditure on education affects economic growth,and builds an empirical analysis model on the basis of the two logical approaches.By incorporating the panel data of all provinces of mainland China from 1996 to 2015,the paper respectively analyzes the effects of the deficient government expenditure on education and educational human capital on economic growth and differences and changes between regions as well.Suggestions and recommendations are put forward accordingly.
引文
[1]Lucas Jr.,R.E.On the Mechanics of Economic Development[J].Journal of Monetary Economics,1988,22(1):3- 42.
[2]Lloyd-Ellis,H.Public Education,Occupational Choice,and the Growth-Inequality Relationship[J].International Economic Review,2000,41(1):171-201.
[3]Su,Xue juan.The Allocation of Public Funds in a Hierarchical Educational System[J].Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control,2004,28(12):2485-2510.
[4]郭庆旺,贾俊雪.公共教育政策、经济增长与人力资本溢价[J].经济研究,2009(10):22-35.
[5]王询,孟望生.人力资本投资与物质资本回报率关系研究——基于世代交叠模型的视角[J].当代财经,2013(7):5-15.
[6]Mankiw,N.G.D.Romer,D.N.Weil,A.Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth[J].Quarterly Journal of Economics,1992(2):407- 437.
[7]祝树金,虢娟.开放条件下的教育支出、教育溢出与经济增长[J].世界经济,2008(5):56-67.
[8]Blankenau,W.F.,Simpson,N.B.,and M.Tomjanovich.Public Education Expenditures,Taxation and Growth:Linking Data to Theory[J].American Economic Review,2006,97(2):393-397.
[9]Glomm,Gerhard,Kaganovich,Michael.Social Security,Public Education and the Growth-Inequality Relationship[J].European Economic Review,2008,52(6):1009-1034.
[10]孟望生.教育欠帐、人力资本与经济增长——基于甘肃14个地级市的实证研究[J].教育与经济,2017(2):3-9.
[11]Pritchett L.Divergence,Big Time[J].Journal of Economic Perspectives,1997,11(2):3-18.
[12]Nelson R.R.,Phelps E.S.Investment in Humans,Technological Diffusion,and Economic Growth[J].American Economic Review,1966,56(2):69-75.
[13]Benhabib J.,Spiegel M.M.The Role of Human Capital in Economic Development Evidence from Aggregate Cross Country Data[J].Journal of Monetary Economics,1994,34(2):143-173.
[14]Krueger A.B.,Lindahl M.Education for Growth:Why and for Whom?[J].Journal of Economics Literuture,2001,39(4):1101-1136.
[15]Pereira J.,St.Aubyn M.What Level of Education Matters Most for Growth? Evidence From Portugal[J].Economics of Education Review,2009,28(1):67-73.
[16]Becker S.O.,Hornung E.,Woessmann L.Education and Catch-up in the Industrial Revolution[J].American Economic Journal:Macroeconomics,2011,3(3):92-126.
[17]孟望生,王询,李井林.人力资本和物质资本对增长贡献的变化——逻辑推理与中国省级面板数据的实证检验[J].经济与管理研究,2015(6):56-66.
[18]魏下海,余玲铮.人力资本与区域经济增长:只是线性关系吗[J].财经科学,2009(10):59-66.
(1)选用模型(2)的结果是因为由R2判断模型(2)对应的样本回归方程更合理。
[2]Lloyd-Ellis,H.Public Education,Occupational Choice,and the Growth-Inequality Relationship[J].International Economic Review,2000,41(1):171-201.
[3]Su,Xue juan.The Allocation of Public Funds in a Hierarchical Educational System[J].Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control,2004,28(12):2485-2510.
[4]郭庆旺,贾俊雪.公共教育政策、经济增长与人力资本溢价[J].经济研究,2009(10):22-35.
[5]王询,孟望生.人力资本投资与物质资本回报率关系研究——基于世代交叠模型的视角[J].当代财经,2013(7):5-15.
[6]Mankiw,N.G.D.Romer,D.N.Weil,A.Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth[J].Quarterly Journal of Economics,1992(2):407- 437.
[7]祝树金,虢娟.开放条件下的教育支出、教育溢出与经济增长[J].世界经济,2008(5):56-67.
[8]Blankenau,W.F.,Simpson,N.B.,and M.Tomjanovich.Public Education Expenditures,Taxation and Growth:Linking Data to Theory[J].American Economic Review,2006,97(2):393-397.
[9]Glomm,Gerhard,Kaganovich,Michael.Social Security,Public Education and the Growth-Inequality Relationship[J].European Economic Review,2008,52(6):1009-1034.
[10]孟望生.教育欠帐、人力资本与经济增长——基于甘肃14个地级市的实证研究[J].教育与经济,2017(2):3-9.
[11]Pritchett L.Divergence,Big Time[J].Journal of Economic Perspectives,1997,11(2):3-18.
[12]Nelson R.R.,Phelps E.S.Investment in Humans,Technological Diffusion,and Economic Growth[J].American Economic Review,1966,56(2):69-75.
[13]Benhabib J.,Spiegel M.M.The Role of Human Capital in Economic Development Evidence from Aggregate Cross Country Data[J].Journal of Monetary Economics,1994,34(2):143-173.
[14]Krueger A.B.,Lindahl M.Education for Growth:Why and for Whom?[J].Journal of Economics Literuture,2001,39(4):1101-1136.
[15]Pereira J.,St.Aubyn M.What Level of Education Matters Most for Growth? Evidence From Portugal[J].Economics of Education Review,2009,28(1):67-73.
[16]Becker S.O.,Hornung E.,Woessmann L.Education and Catch-up in the Industrial Revolution[J].American Economic Journal:Macroeconomics,2011,3(3):92-126.
[17]孟望生,王询,李井林.人力资本和物质资本对增长贡献的变化——逻辑推理与中国省级面板数据的实证检验[J].经济与管理研究,2015(6):56-66.
[18]魏下海,余玲铮.人力资本与区域经济增长:只是线性关系吗[J].财经科学,2009(10):59-66.
(1)选用模型(2)的结果是因为由R2判断模型(2)对应的样本回归方程更合理。