自然通风对呼吸顺畅度影响的有序逻辑回归分析
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摘要
为了研究教室自然通风条件下环境参数对学生呼吸顺畅度的影响,2018年3月至4月期间对77名受试者进行呼吸顺畅度指标问卷调查和现场自然通风环境参数采集,得到82组数据。对数据进行有序逻辑回归分析,得出:呼吸顺畅度指标与干球温度、相对湿度和CO_2体积分数有关;建立逻辑回归的模型模拟指标与实测指标吻合度89. 8%,具有较高的拟合结果;影响呼吸顺畅度指标的主要因素是干球温度,相对湿度次2,CO_2体积分数的影响较弱。
In order to study the influence of natural ventilation parameters on student's smooth breathing in classroom,77 volunteers were surveyed for the index of smooth breathing and the environment parameters were collected from March to April in 2018. The 82 sets of data were got. The data were analyzed by orderly logistic regression analysis. Results show that the index of smooth breathing is related to dry temperature,relative humidity and CO_2,the 89. 8% of the regression models established by logistic regression are consistent with the measured data and have higher fitting results. Results also reveal that dry ball temperature has the greatest influence on the index of human smooth breathing,and the influence of CO_2 is weaker than that of dry ball temperature and relative humidity.
In order to study the influence of natural ventilation parameters on student's smooth breathing in classroom,77 volunteers were surveyed for the index of smooth breathing and the environment parameters were collected from March to April in 2018. The 82 sets of data were got. The data were analyzed by orderly logistic regression analysis. Results show that the index of smooth breathing is related to dry temperature,relative humidity and CO_2,the 89. 8% of the regression models established by logistic regression are consistent with the measured data and have higher fitting results. Results also reveal that dry ball temperature has the greatest influence on the index of human smooth breathing,and the influence of CO_2 is weaker than that of dry ball temperature and relative humidity.
引文
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[12] JAAKKOLA K,SAUKKORIIPI A,JOKELAINEN J,et al. Decline in temperature and humidity increases the occurrence of influenza in cold climate[J]. Environ Health,2014,13(1):22.
[2] MICHELOZZI P,ACCETTA G,SARIO M,et al. High temperature andhospitalizations for cardiovascular and respiratory causes in 12European cities[J]. Am J Respir Crit Care Med,2009,179:383-389.
[3]陶辉,童建勇,沈艳辉,等.北京市H区日平均气温与呼吸系统疾病死亡的病例交叉研究[J].环境与健康杂志,2011,28(7):569-572.
[4] BARRECA A I. Climate change,humidity and mortality in the United States[J]. J Environ Econ Manage,2012,63(1):19-34.
[5]陶燕,宋捷,强力,等.兰州市城关区气象因素与麻疹发病人数的时间序列研究[J].中国环境科学,2014,34(11):2964-2969.
[6]王敏珍,郑山,王式功,等.气温与湿度的交互作用对呼吸系统疾病的影响[J].中国环境科学,2016,36(2):581-588.
[7]张文彤.统计分析高级教程[M].北京:高等教育出版社,2017:265-281.
[8]张文彤,董伟.统计分析高级教程[M].北京:高等教育出版社,2018:162-189.
[9] GREEN RS,BASU R,MALIG B,et al. The effect of temperature on hospital admissions in nine california counties[J]. Int J Public Health,2010,55(2):113-121.
[10] REN C,WILLIAMS GM,TONG S. Does particulate matter modify the association between temperature and cardiorespiratory diseases[J]. Environ Health Perspect,2006,114(11):1690-1696.
[11] MENG X,ZHANG Y,ZHAO Z,et al. Temperature modifies the acute effect of particulate air pollution on mortality in eight Chinese cities[J]. Sci Total Environ,2012,435:215-221.
[12] JAAKKOLA K,SAUKKORIIPI A,JOKELAINEN J,et al. Decline in temperature and humidity increases the occurrence of influenza in cold climate[J]. Environ Health,2014,13(1):22.