中部六省新型城镇化发展水平时空分异研究
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摘要
单纯的城镇化发展已不能满足现在的发展要求,新型城镇化应运而生。为客观评价中部六省新型城镇化水平,构建新型城镇化综合发展水平评价指标体系,采用纵横向拉开档次法,完全客观地确定各项指标权重,对中部六省2006—2015年新型城镇化综合发展水平从时间和空间两个方面进行分析,并深入分析各省新型城镇化的发展水平,得出以下结论:第一,从新型城镇化发展过程来看,安徽省新型城镇化发展过程最好,整体呈上升趋势,其他五省发展过程都不理想,整体呈下降趋势。第二,从新型城镇化综合发展水平来看,湖北省最好,河南省最差。第三,各省新型城镇化有其各自的发展特点。因此,各省应因地制宜,积极寻找对策,发展各自独特的新型城镇化道路。
The development of simple urbanization no longer meets the current development requirements, and new urbanization has emerged. To objectively evaluate the new level of urbanization in the six provinces of central China, establish a new evaluation index system for the comprehensive development level of urbanization, and use vertical and horizontal pull methods that are different from the previous subjective emotions to determine the weight of each index completely and objectively. The comprehensive development level of new urbanization in six provinces from 2006 to 2015 was analyzed from two aspects: time and space, and the specific content of new urbanization in each province was analyzed. The following conclusions were drawn: First, from the perspective of the new urbanization process, the development process of new urbanization in Anhui Province is the best and the overall trend is upward; the development process in the other five provinces is not ideal and the overall trend is downward. Secondly, from the perspective of the comprehensive development level of new urbanization, Hubei Province is the best and always ranked first. Henan Province is the worst, and it has always ranked last since 2012. Thirdly, the new urbanization in each province has its own characteristics of development. Therefore, the provinces should adjust measures to local conditions, actively seek countermeasures, and develop their own unique new ways of urbanization.
The development of simple urbanization no longer meets the current development requirements, and new urbanization has emerged. To objectively evaluate the new level of urbanization in the six provinces of central China, establish a new evaluation index system for the comprehensive development level of urbanization, and use vertical and horizontal pull methods that are different from the previous subjective emotions to determine the weight of each index completely and objectively. The comprehensive development level of new urbanization in six provinces from 2006 to 2015 was analyzed from two aspects: time and space, and the specific content of new urbanization in each province was analyzed. The following conclusions were drawn: First, from the perspective of the new urbanization process, the development process of new urbanization in Anhui Province is the best and the overall trend is upward; the development process in the other five provinces is not ideal and the overall trend is downward. Secondly, from the perspective of the comprehensive development level of new urbanization, Hubei Province is the best and always ranked first. Henan Province is the worst, and it has always ranked last since 2012. Thirdly, the new urbanization in each province has its own characteristics of development. Therefore, the provinces should adjust measures to local conditions, actively seek countermeasures, and develop their own unique new ways of urbanization.
引文
[1]王富喜,毛爱华,李赫龙,贾明璐.基于熵值法的山东省城镇化质量测度及空间差异分析[J].地理科学,2013,33(11):1323-1329.
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[8]郭志刚.我国人口城镇化现状的剖析——基于2010年人口普查数据[J].社会学研究,2014,29(1):10-24,241,242.
[9]秦佳,李建民.中国人口城镇化的空间差异与影响因素[J].人口研究,2013,37(2):25-40.
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[11]李昕,文婧,林坚.土地城镇化及相关问题研究综述[J].地理科学进展,2012,31(8):1042-1049.
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[13]王亚力,彭保发,熊建新,王青.2001年以来环洞庭湖区经济城镇化与人口城镇化进程的对比研究[J].地理科学,2014,34(1):67-75.
[14]吕添贵,吴次芳,李洪义,游和远,蔡潇.人口城镇化与土地城镇化协调性测度及优化——以南昌市为例[J].地理科学,2016,36(2):239-246.
[15]范进,赵定涛.土地城镇化与人口城镇化协调性测定及其影响因素[J].经济学家,2012(5):61-67.
[16]朱云章.河南省工业化与城镇化的协调发展——基于农村劳动力转移视角[J].河南科技大学学报(社会科学版),2012,30(5):35-40.
[17]张引,杨庆媛,李闯,杨孟禹.重庆市新型城镇化发展质量评价与比较分析[J].经济地理,2015,35(7):79-86.
[18]张晓瑞,王振波.基于PP-DEA模型的区域城镇化发展差异的综合评价[J].中国人口,资源与环境,2012,22(2):130-135.
[19]杨新刚,张守文,强群莉.安徽省县域城镇化质量的时空演变[J].经济地理,2016,36(4):84-91.
[20]马艳梅,吴玉鸣,吴柏钧.长三角地区城镇化可持续发展综合评价——基于熵值法和象限图法[J].经济地理,2015,35(6):47-53.
[21]沈鑫,吕淑丽.河南省新型城镇化发展的评价研究[J].河南农业大学学报,2015,49(5):718-722.
[2]孟庆香,郭施宏,吴升.福建省城镇化质量空间差异评价[J].中国农业资源与区划,2015,36(7):33-40.
[3]叶菁,刘卫.湖北省新型城镇化质量时空特征分析[J].统计与决策,2015(5):96-99.
[4]王怡睿,黄煌,石培基.中国城镇化质量时空演变研究[J].经济地理,2017,37(1):90-97.
[5]何孝沛,梁阁,丁志伟,王发曾.河南省城镇化质量空间格局演变[J].地理科学进展,2015,34(2):257-264.
[6]薛德升,曾献君.中国人口城镇化质量评价及省际差异分析[J].地理学报,2016,71(2):194-204.
[7]尹鹏,李诚固,陈才,段佩利.新型城镇化情境下人口城镇化与基本公共服务关系研究——以吉林省为例[J].经济地理,2015,35(1):61-67.
[8]郭志刚.我国人口城镇化现状的剖析——基于2010年人口普查数据[J].社会学研究,2014,29(1):10-24,241,242.
[9]秦佳,李建民.中国人口城镇化的空间差异与影响因素[J].人口研究,2013,37(2):25-40.
[10]张飞,孔伟.我国土地城镇化的时空特征及机理研究[J].地域研究与开发,2014,33(5):144-148.
[11]李昕,文婧,林坚.土地城镇化及相关问题研究综述[J].地理科学进展,2012,31(8):1042-1049.
[12]程莉,周宗社.人口城镇化与经济城镇化的协调与互动关系研究[J].理论月刊,2014(1):119-122.
[13]王亚力,彭保发,熊建新,王青.2001年以来环洞庭湖区经济城镇化与人口城镇化进程的对比研究[J].地理科学,2014,34(1):67-75.
[14]吕添贵,吴次芳,李洪义,游和远,蔡潇.人口城镇化与土地城镇化协调性测度及优化——以南昌市为例[J].地理科学,2016,36(2):239-246.
[15]范进,赵定涛.土地城镇化与人口城镇化协调性测定及其影响因素[J].经济学家,2012(5):61-67.
[16]朱云章.河南省工业化与城镇化的协调发展——基于农村劳动力转移视角[J].河南科技大学学报(社会科学版),2012,30(5):35-40.
[17]张引,杨庆媛,李闯,杨孟禹.重庆市新型城镇化发展质量评价与比较分析[J].经济地理,2015,35(7):79-86.
[18]张晓瑞,王振波.基于PP-DEA模型的区域城镇化发展差异的综合评价[J].中国人口,资源与环境,2012,22(2):130-135.
[19]杨新刚,张守文,强群莉.安徽省县域城镇化质量的时空演变[J].经济地理,2016,36(4):84-91.
[20]马艳梅,吴玉鸣,吴柏钧.长三角地区城镇化可持续发展综合评价——基于熵值法和象限图法[J].经济地理,2015,35(6):47-53.
[21]沈鑫,吕淑丽.河南省新型城镇化发展的评价研究[J].河南农业大学学报,2015,49(5):718-722.