雄安新区推动京津冀协同发展的可行性分析
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摘要
以京津冀协同发展为研究对象,运用定性与定量相结合的分析方法探讨雄安新区推动京津冀协同发展的可行性,得出如下结论:第一,客观看待京津冀三地同源文化背景下的文化差异、超过合理区间的经济势差、依然量化考核三地年度发展成果对协同发展的影响。第二,将"三地三方"视为协同对象,有利于京津冀以多中心城市体系进入世界级城市群行列,且从源头上避免将北京与其他城市的不平等关系扩大至京津冀地区及其他地区。第三,不能忽略京津冀和雄安新区原有的地缘经济关系,应依靠更广范围的区域资源推进京津冀协同发展,建设雄安新区。第四,以一个独立的区域单元标准规划雄安新区的发展和可持续发展,确立唯一建设主导主体,彻底解决多头主体管理低效的问题,使雄安新区成为自身建设的关键参与者。第五,处理好"两个雄安新区"的关系,使雄安新区成为缩小京冀差距与河北内部差距的引擎;第六,雄安新区是推动京津冀协同发展的措施之一,不是实现京津冀协同发展的唯一措施;雄安新区是京津冀协同发展战略的组成部分,随着战略的实施和推进,潜在问题和新问题会显现,相应的举措会继续出台。第七,当前雄安新区的七大政策有助于强化三地功能定位,雄安新区能够推动京津冀协同发展,但是作用程度有限且差异较大,在实践中需要大幅提升雄安新区相关政策措施的操作性和针对性,同时也要看到,京津冀协同发展战略的落实需要多措并举,共同发力。
Taking the integrated development of the Beijing--Tianjin-Hebei region as the subject,the author analyzes the feasibility of giving play to the role of Xiongan New Area in promoting the integrated development of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region with the help of qualitative and quantitative methods. It is found that:first,we should objectively understand the cultural differences and the economic potential differences among these three regions,and quantitatively measure the impact of annual development fruit on the integrated development;second,taking the"Three Place and Three Parties"as the subject of integration will be beneficial for Beijing--Tianjin-Hebei to entering the world-level city cluster as multi-central-city system,and it will also prevent that the unfair relationship between Beijing and other cities is expanded to Beijing--Tianjin-Hebei region and other regions;third,we should not neglect the original geoeconomic relation in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region and Xiongan New Area;fourth,we should design the sustainable development plan of Xiongan New Area by taking it as an independent regional unit;fifth,we should deal with the relation of"Two Xiongan New Areas";sixth,Xiongan New Area is only one of the measures for us to promote the integrated development of Beijing--Tianjin-Hebei region,but not the unique one,and it is the components of the strategy of the integrated development of Beijing--Tianjin-Hebei region;and seventh,the existing seven policies of Xiongan New Area will be helpful for strengthening the functional position of Beijing,Tianjin,and Hebei,but the role of it in promoting the integrated development of Beijing--Tianjin-Hebei region is limited.
Taking the integrated development of the Beijing--Tianjin-Hebei region as the subject,the author analyzes the feasibility of giving play to the role of Xiongan New Area in promoting the integrated development of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region with the help of qualitative and quantitative methods. It is found that:first,we should objectively understand the cultural differences and the economic potential differences among these three regions,and quantitatively measure the impact of annual development fruit on the integrated development;second,taking the"Three Place and Three Parties"as the subject of integration will be beneficial for Beijing--Tianjin-Hebei to entering the world-level city cluster as multi-central-city system,and it will also prevent that the unfair relationship between Beijing and other cities is expanded to Beijing--Tianjin-Hebei region and other regions;third,we should not neglect the original geoeconomic relation in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region and Xiongan New Area;fourth,we should design the sustainable development plan of Xiongan New Area by taking it as an independent regional unit;fifth,we should deal with the relation of"Two Xiongan New Areas";sixth,Xiongan New Area is only one of the measures for us to promote the integrated development of Beijing--Tianjin-Hebei region,but not the unique one,and it is the components of the strategy of the integrated development of Beijing--Tianjin-Hebei region;and seventh,the existing seven policies of Xiongan New Area will be helpful for strengthening the functional position of Beijing,Tianjin,and Hebei,but the role of it in promoting the integrated development of Beijing--Tianjin-Hebei region is limited.
引文
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(1)限于文章篇幅,选用系统动力模型的依据和指标文献出处没有显示在文中,如有需要请与作者联系,wjj_0803@163.com。
[2]王娟娟.京津冀协同区趋同类型探索[J].中国流通经济,2015(12):12-17.
[3]郭园庚.雄安新区与京津冀协同创新共同体建设的互联共生[J].河北学刊,2017,38(4):221-226.
[4]李兰冰,郭琪,吕程.雄安新区与京津冀世界级城市群建设[J].南开学报(哲学社会科学版),2017(4):22-31.
[5]叶振宇.雄安新区与京、津、冀的关系及合作途径[J].河北大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2017,42(4):89-93.
[6]高卷.京津冀协同发展背景下雄安新区发展思路研究[J].经济与管理评论,2017(6):130-136.
[7]孟广文,金凤君,李国平,曾刚.雄安新区:地理学面临的机遇与挑战[J].地理研究,2017,36(6):1 003-1 013.
[8]刘戒骄.京津冀产业协同发展的动力来源与激励机制[J].区域经济评论,2018(6):22-28.
[9]王大树,金希娜,郑明堃.京津冀产业转移要处理好五对关系[J].新视野,2018(3):61-66.
[10]王金营,唐天思.京津冀劳动力供给及经济发展方式转变下的需求研究[J].人口与经济,2018(6):1-11.
[11]李峰,赵怡虹.雄安新区与京津冀城市群发展[J].当代经济管理,2018,40(5):45-50.
[12]艾小青,陈连磊,冯虹.收入越高居留意愿越强吗?--基于京津冀流动人口调查数据的研究[J].华东经济管理,2019,33(2):79-86.
[13]李国平,宋昌耀.京津冀区域空间结构优化策略研究[J].河北学刊,2019(1):137-145.
[14]国家统计局.中国统计年鉴2011[EB/OL].[2019-02-01].http://www.stats.gov.cn/tjsj/ndsj/2011/indexch.htm.
[15]国家统计局.中国统计年鉴2012[EB/OL].[2019-02-01].http://www.stats.gov.cn/tjsj/ndsj/2012/indexch.htm.
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[22]国家统计局.中国统计年鉴2010[EB/OL].[2019-02-01].http://www.stats.gov.cn/tjsj/ndsj/2010/indexch.htm.
[23]国家统计局.中国统计年鉴2009[EB/OL].[2019-02-01].http://www.stats.gov.cn/tjsj/ndsj/2009/indexch.htm.
[24]杨开忠.京津冀协同发展的新逻辑:地方品质驱动型发展[J].经济与管理,2019(1):1-3.
[25]河北省统计局,国家统计局河北调查总队.河北省2018年国民经济和社会发展统计公报[EB/OL].(2019-02-28)[2019-03-01].http://www.hetj.gov.cn/hetj/tjgbtg/101548813276747.html.
[26]安景文,李松林,梁志霞,柳霞.产业结构视角下京津冀都市圈经济差异测度[J].城市问题,2018,(9):48-54.
[27]李鸿阶.新常态下的福建经济发展差距及其路径选择[J].学术评论,2016,(10):31-41.
[28]曾学文,施发启,赵少钦,董晓宇.中国市场化指数的测度与评价:1978-2008[J].中国延安干部学院学报,2010,(7):47-60.
[29]刘双艳,张晓林.中国农村居民生活质量评价[J].经济问题,2018(10):90-93.
(1)限于文章篇幅,选用系统动力模型的依据和指标文献出处没有显示在文中,如有需要请与作者联系,wjj_0803@163.com。