摘要
随着中国经济的快速发展,我国石油市场出现了严重的供不应求的紧张局势,进口石油数量逐年上升,石油进口依存度已经远远超过国际公认的30%的安全警戒线,石油的安全问题日益凸现。而我国尚未针对油藏建立一套全面的从政治、经济、社会等方面来综合考虑如何选择合理开采速度的理论体系。在这种情况下,本文对中国油藏开采速度的选择和评价方面做了有益的尝试,主要研究以下几方面内容:
首先,本文介绍了油藏的概念、油藏开采的技术理论以及目前中国油藏开采过程中存在的不足。接着介绍了油藏的分类及不同类型油藏在开采速度方面的要求和特点。最后对采油速度的相关理论进行了研究并且提出确定合理采油速度的建议。
其次,本文从油藏的内部因素、外部因素、技术因素以及效益和资源因素四个方面来考虑各因素对油藏开采速度的影响。确定了影响油藏开采速度的12个指标,并运用层次分析法对影响油藏开采速度的各指标权重进行分配,最后运用多级模糊多目标决策方法来对油藏的开采速度进行选择。
然后,将上述油藏开采速度的选择和评价模型运用到具体的实例当中,我们选择了双河油田V1-10油藏进行了实例论证,事实证明此方法在现实情况下具有较强的可操作性,进一步完善了本文研究。
最后,提出了关于我国油藏开采速度的一些建议和措施,包括积极开发我国的低品味油藏提高油藏的开采速度;不断开发新技术维持老油田的开采速度;控制合理的储采比以确保我国石油工业的后续发展;对部分已探明储量的油藏进行战略储备以确保中国的能源安全。
With the rapid development of Chinese economic,the demand forpetroleum excesses the supply for it in China. The amount of import petroleumrises year after year,the dependent degree of import petroleum has alreadyexceeded 30% safety line which is recognized by international society,thequestion of petroleum safety is showing increasingly. But the Chinese reservoirexploration rate model which is concerning to polity、economy、society andother factors has not been built. Under this circumstance,this article makes auseful studying on the choice and appraise of reservoir exploration rate model inchina,and the main results of this thesis are expressed as follows:
First of all,the writer introduces the notion of reservoir、the technicaltheory of reservoir exploitation and the existing shortage in the reservoirexploitation. Then introduce the classes of reservoir and the request and trait ofdifferent reservoir in exploitation speed. Finally the writer gives some researchon exploitation speed and puts forward some advice on chosing reasonablespeed on exploitation.
Secondly,the writer discusses four aspects to consider the request ofreservoir exploitation which conclude interior、exterior、technique and benefitfactor. The writer chooses twelve indexes and applys AHP method to decide theweigh of index. Finally,applys the multilevel blur excessive target method to setup the choice and appraise of reservoir development model in China.
Moreover , the writer applys the choice and appraise of reservoirdevelopment model evaluate the V1-10 reservoir in ShuangHe oil field. The factproves that the method is provided with strong maneuverability , Thecombination of the theory and case perfects this paper.
Finally,the writer brings forward some advice and measure whichconcerning to the reservoir exploitation. Mine actively the low taste reservoir to
improve the rate of petroleum exploitation;Mine ceaselessly new technology tomaintain the rate of petroleum exploitation of old reservoir;control reasonableratio of store-pick to insure development of oil industry in China;built up safelyoil tactic repertory to insure energy safety.
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