浅析新常态下房地产经济宏观调控的基本思路
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摘要
新常态下,我国房地产业产能过剩、资源配置效率低下等问题突出。以新常态调控理念为指导,结合房地产市场发展规律,总结与适时调整房地产经济宏观调控思路,对解决上述问题以促进房地产业健康平稳发展有理论意义。从调控手段、目标、方向、时机等几个方面提出调控的基本思路:坚持以经济手段的间接干预为主,以行政手段的直接干预为辅;目标调控与区间调控相结合,对总量与强度目标调控、增量与时序区间调控,对红线目标调控、非红线区间调控,对住宅供应结构目标调控、房价区间调控;从供给侧出发,加大定向调控,配合财税、金融等政策加大基础和民生产业支持力度,加快用地供给与建设;强刺激向微刺激转变,"相机调控",实行分区域区别化的房地产政策;注重科学计划,加强预期引导等。
Under the new normal,problems such as excess capacity of real estate industry and low efficiency of resource allocation are outstanding.Guiding by the new normal control concepts,combining with the law of development of real estate market,summary and timely adjustment of the macro-control of real estate economy mentality,the paper has the theoretical significance to the above problems to promote the healthy and stable development of the real estate industry.The paper put forward a series of basic ideas of regulation and control in terms of measure,objective,orientation and opportunity.Specifically,with the economic means indirect intervention and the administrative means is auxiliary.Target control combined with interval control.The total amount and the intensity are controlled by target.The increment and schedule are controlled by interval.The red line is controlled by target and others interval.Housing supply structure controlled by target but housing price by interval.Cooperating with taxation,finance and other policies to support for basic and livelihood industries,speed up the supply of land,and strengthen directional control from the supply side.Macro-stimulation changes to micro-stimulation,and executing well-timed regulation,then implementing the real estate policy that differentiates the area.Attach importance to scientific plan and strengthen expectation guidance.
Under the new normal,problems such as excess capacity of real estate industry and low efficiency of resource allocation are outstanding.Guiding by the new normal control concepts,combining with the law of development of real estate market,summary and timely adjustment of the macro-control of real estate economy mentality,the paper has the theoretical significance to the above problems to promote the healthy and stable development of the real estate industry.The paper put forward a series of basic ideas of regulation and control in terms of measure,objective,orientation and opportunity.Specifically,with the economic means indirect intervention and the administrative means is auxiliary.Target control combined with interval control.The total amount and the intensity are controlled by target.The increment and schedule are controlled by interval.The red line is controlled by target and others interval.Housing supply structure controlled by target but housing price by interval.Cooperating with taxation,finance and other policies to support for basic and livelihood industries,speed up the supply of land,and strengthen directional control from the supply side.Macro-stimulation changes to micro-stimulation,and executing well-timed regulation,then implementing the real estate policy that differentiates the area.Attach importance to scientific plan and strengthen expectation guidance.
引文
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[5]网易财经.中央经济工作会议为何强调“预期引导”?[EB/OL].(2016-12-19)[2018-03-16].http://money.163.com/16/1219/11/C8L5VJCM002580S6.html.
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[2]李鑫,欧名豪.建设用地供给创新:总量控制+差别化调控[J].中国土地,2011(8):47.
[3]刘伟,陈彦斌.十八大以来宏观调控的六大新思路[N].人民日报.2017-03-01(07).
[4]搜狐网.区间、定向、相机,调控“三兄弟”是什么?[EB/OL].(2016-03-21)[2018-03-16].http://www.sohu.com/a/64670020_395515.
[5]网易财经.中央经济工作会议为何强调“预期引导”?[EB/OL].(2016-12-19)[2018-03-16].http://money.163.com/16/1219/11/C8L5VJCM002580S6.html.
[6]陈龙高,但承龙.不动产经济学[M].南京:东南大学出版社.2011.
[7]刊评.用市场机制提升土地资源供给的有效性:写在第26个全国“土地日”[J].中国国土资源经济,2016,29(6):1.
[8]刊评.供给侧结构性改革与国土资源供给[J].中国国土资源经济,2016,29(2):1.
[9]陶晓龙.土地政策与宏观调控:新时期土地市场政府干预理论与实践[M].北京:中国环境出版社,2013.
[10]曲福田,等.中国土地和矿产资源有效供给与高效配置机制研究[M].北京:中国社会科学出版社,2017.