城镇化转型与中国城乡收入差距的收敛
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摘要
利用2000—2016年中国内地除西藏以外的30个省份的面板数据,分析我国城镇化和城乡收入差距的动态演进以及新型城镇化对我国城乡收入差距的时空效应及其差异,明确城镇化的转型能否促进我国城乡收入差距的收敛。结果表明:2000—2009年,我国居民收入分配明显两极分化,城乡收入差距逐年扩大。2010—2016年,新型城镇化的发展对我国城乡收入差距的正向影响已不显著,对城乡收入差距的收敛作用显现;新型城镇化的发展对东部地区城镇收入差距仍有显著正向影响,对中部地区城乡收入差距的正向影响已不显著,而对西部地区城乡收入差距的影响转为负向,具有微弱缩小作用;东部地区经济高度集聚形成的扩散效应、中部地区产业结构的优化升级、西部地区的固定资产投资的增加对各自地区城乡收入差距的缩小存在显著促进作用。
Using the panel data of 30 provinces in mainland China except Tibet from 2000 to 2016,the dynamic evolution of the new pattern urbanization and urban-rural income gap of our country,as well as the impact and its difference of space and time of new pattern urbanization on the income gap between urban and rural areas of our country were analyzed. The problems about new pattern urbanization promote the convergence of the income gap between urban and rural areas was answered. Results show that during 2000—2009,the residents' income distribution obviously polarization,the income gap between urban and rural areas expand year by year. During 2010—2016,the impact of new pattern urbanization on the income gap between urban and rural areas is not significant,the positive effects of inhibition appeared on the income gap between urban and rural areas; At the same time,the new pattern urbanization also have significantly positive influence on income gap in the eastern region,for the positive influence of income gap between urban and rural areas in central China is not significant,and the influence on income gap between urban and rural areas in the western areas became negative,has a slight shrink effect; The diffusion effect from eastern region economy highly concentrated form,the optimization and upgrading of the industrial structure of the central region,and fixed asset investment in the western region play significant roles in narrowing urban and rural income gap.
Using the panel data of 30 provinces in mainland China except Tibet from 2000 to 2016,the dynamic evolution of the new pattern urbanization and urban-rural income gap of our country,as well as the impact and its difference of space and time of new pattern urbanization on the income gap between urban and rural areas of our country were analyzed. The problems about new pattern urbanization promote the convergence of the income gap between urban and rural areas was answered. Results show that during 2000—2009,the residents' income distribution obviously polarization,the income gap between urban and rural areas expand year by year. During 2010—2016,the impact of new pattern urbanization on the income gap between urban and rural areas is not significant,the positive effects of inhibition appeared on the income gap between urban and rural areas; At the same time,the new pattern urbanization also have significantly positive influence on income gap in the eastern region,for the positive influence of income gap between urban and rural areas in central China is not significant,and the influence on income gap between urban and rural areas in the western areas became negative,has a slight shrink effect; The diffusion effect from eastern region economy highly concentrated form,the optimization and upgrading of the industrial structure of the central region,and fixed asset investment in the western region play significant roles in narrowing urban and rural income gap.
引文
[1]王新越,秦素贞,吴宁宁.新型城镇化的内涵、测度及其区域差异研究[J].地域研究与开发,2014,33(4):69-75.
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[8]赵永平,徐盈之.新型城镇化对缩小城乡收入差距的作用——基于城乡二元收入的理论模型与实证检验[J].中南大学学报(社会科学版),2014,20(4):37-42.
[9]徐家鹏,孙养学.城市化进程对城乡居民收入差距的影响[J].城市问题,2017(1):95-103.
[10]惠宁,熊正潭.城乡固定资产投资与城乡收入差距研究——基于1980—2009年时间序列数据[J].西北大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2011,41(4):45-52.
[11]秦明,杨亚玲,苏毅清,等.中国地级市新型城镇化的影响因素[J].地域研究与开发,2017,36(3):41-45.
[12]高顺成.城镇化质量评价指标体系分析[J].地域研究与开发,2016,35(3):33-39.
[13]王博宇,谢奉军,黄新建.新型城镇化评价指标体系构建——以江西为例[J].江西社会科学,2013,33(8):72-76.
[14]赵永平,徐盈之.新型城镇化的经济增长效应:时空分异与传导路径分析[J].商业经济与管理,2014(8):48-56.
[15]郑小三,李小克.产业结构、固定资产投资与城乡收入差距——基于中部地区省级面板数据的实证分析[J].经济与管理,2012,26(7):71-79.
[16]罗必良.缩小城乡收入差距的城镇化战略[J].农村经济,2013(1):9-11.
[17]林冬生.新型城镇化背景下西部小城镇的发展选择[J].农村经济,2015(3):100-103.
[2]陆铭,陈钊.城市化、城市倾向的经济政策与城乡收入差距[J].经济研究,2004,49(6):50-58.
[3]李子叶,韩先锋,冯根福.中国城市化进程扩大了城乡收入差距吗——基于中国省级面板数据的经验分析[J].经济学家,2016(2):69-74.
[4]陈斌开,林毅夫.重工业优先发展战略、城市化和城乡工资差距[J].南开经济研究,2010(1):3-18.
[5]洪丽,尹康.中国城镇化与城乡收入差距的“倒U型”拐点测度——基于东、中、西部地区省际面板数据的实证研究[J].统计与信息论坛,2015,30(9):12-21.
[6]姚士谋,陈维肖,陈振光,等.新常态下中国新型城镇化的若干问题[J].地域研究与开发. 2016,35(1):1-4.
[7]蔡武,吴国兵,朱荃.集聚空间外部性、城乡劳动力流动对收入差距的影响[J].产业经济研究,2013(2):21-30.
[8]赵永平,徐盈之.新型城镇化对缩小城乡收入差距的作用——基于城乡二元收入的理论模型与实证检验[J].中南大学学报(社会科学版),2014,20(4):37-42.
[9]徐家鹏,孙养学.城市化进程对城乡居民收入差距的影响[J].城市问题,2017(1):95-103.
[10]惠宁,熊正潭.城乡固定资产投资与城乡收入差距研究——基于1980—2009年时间序列数据[J].西北大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2011,41(4):45-52.
[11]秦明,杨亚玲,苏毅清,等.中国地级市新型城镇化的影响因素[J].地域研究与开发,2017,36(3):41-45.
[12]高顺成.城镇化质量评价指标体系分析[J].地域研究与开发,2016,35(3):33-39.
[13]王博宇,谢奉军,黄新建.新型城镇化评价指标体系构建——以江西为例[J].江西社会科学,2013,33(8):72-76.
[14]赵永平,徐盈之.新型城镇化的经济增长效应:时空分异与传导路径分析[J].商业经济与管理,2014(8):48-56.
[15]郑小三,李小克.产业结构、固定资产投资与城乡收入差距——基于中部地区省级面板数据的实证分析[J].经济与管理,2012,26(7):71-79.
[16]罗必良.缩小城乡收入差距的城镇化战略[J].农村经济,2013(1):9-11.
[17]林冬生.新型城镇化背景下西部小城镇的发展选择[J].农村经济,2015(3):100-103.