农村居民点时空格局演化模拟研究综述
|
摘要
[目的]在我国城镇化快速发展的大背景下,农村居民点分化重组趋势日益明显。利用模型模拟的手段定量揭示农村居民点空间格局演化的驱动因素,准确理解其演化过程和未来时期的布局态势,以期达到农村居民点的合理布局势在必行。为此,需要对目前农村居民点演化模拟的研究现状,以及应用的农村居民点演化模拟模型的适用性有一定的把握和认识。[方法]文章利用文献资料法和对比分析法,以农村居民点演化模拟研究的主要内容为主线,梳理和总结了农村居民点演化发展趋势、农村居民点演化模拟驱动机制,以及农村居民点演化模拟方法和模型,评述了不同演化模型的模拟原理及其优缺点。[结果]由于农村居民点的斑块空间破碎化、参与主体多样性、驱动因素复杂等原因,常规的土地利用变化模型在农村居民点模拟的应用上遇到了很大的挑战;农村居民点演化模拟模型的选择仍具有较强的驱动力和尺度依赖性。[结论]土地利用变化模型可为农村居民点演化模拟研究提供有效参考,但是更加准确的农村居民点演化模拟需要注重机理模型的研发。通过空间途径和社会途径的耦合,解析农村居民点格局演化过程中的主要决策主体,构建农村居民点演化多主体模型,将是未来农村居民点演化模拟的重要方向。
At present,with the rapid urbanization in China,the differentiation and reorganization trends of rural settlement are becoming more and more obvious. In order to achieve a reasonable layout for rural settlements,it is imperative to quantitatively reveal the determinants that influence the spatial evolution of rural settlements,accurately understand its evolution process and furtherly predict their future layout by modeling and simulation approaches. Therefore,it is necessary to master the current status of research on simulating the evolution of rural settlement patterns and evaluate the applicability of models that can be used to simulate the rural settlement evolution.Taking the main contents of the research on the rural settlement evolution simulation as a mainline,using the methods of literature summary and comparative analysis,this paper reviews the evolution patterns and driving mechanism of rural settlements and compares the advantages and disadvantages of their methods and models. Findings from our systemic review are showed as follows. As the reasons of scattered distribution in rural settlement,diversity of its participants,and complex driving factors,the application of conventional land-use change models in simulating rural settlement is facing great challenges. The selection of the simulation model of rural settlement strongly associates with the selections of driving forces and spatial scale. In conclusion,the simulation model of land use change can provide an effective reference on the simulation of rural settlements evolution. However,the more accurate evolution simulation of rural settlements requires a further consideration of the model mechanism. As a consequence,to analyze the main decision-making body in the rural settlement evolution through coupling spatial approach and social approach,and additionally,construct a multi-agent model will be an important future direction of the rural settlements' evolution simulation.
At present,with the rapid urbanization in China,the differentiation and reorganization trends of rural settlement are becoming more and more obvious. In order to achieve a reasonable layout for rural settlements,it is imperative to quantitatively reveal the determinants that influence the spatial evolution of rural settlements,accurately understand its evolution process and furtherly predict their future layout by modeling and simulation approaches. Therefore,it is necessary to master the current status of research on simulating the evolution of rural settlement patterns and evaluate the applicability of models that can be used to simulate the rural settlement evolution.Taking the main contents of the research on the rural settlement evolution simulation as a mainline,using the methods of literature summary and comparative analysis,this paper reviews the evolution patterns and driving mechanism of rural settlements and compares the advantages and disadvantages of their methods and models. Findings from our systemic review are showed as follows. As the reasons of scattered distribution in rural settlement,diversity of its participants,and complex driving factors,the application of conventional land-use change models in simulating rural settlement is facing great challenges. The selection of the simulation model of rural settlement strongly associates with the selections of driving forces and spatial scale. In conclusion,the simulation model of land use change can provide an effective reference on the simulation of rural settlements evolution. However,the more accurate evolution simulation of rural settlements requires a further consideration of the model mechanism. As a consequence,to analyze the main decision-making body in the rural settlement evolution through coupling spatial approach and social approach,and additionally,construct a multi-agent model will be an important future direction of the rural settlements' evolution simulation.
引文
[1]Liu Y,Li Y.Revitalize the world's countryside.Nature,2017,548(7667):275-277.
[2]Zuidema G,Born G,Alcamo J,et al.Simulating changes in global land cover as affected by economic and climatic factors.Water Air&Soil Pollution,1994,76(1-2):163-198.
[3]张华,张勃.国际土地利用/覆盖变化模型研究综述.自然资源学报,2005,20(3):422-431.
[4]韩会然.北京市土地利用空间格局演化模拟及预测.地理科学进展,2015,34(8):976-986.
[5]Lang Y,Song W,Deng X.Projected land use changes impacts on water yields in the karst mountain areas of China.Physics and Chemistry of the Earth,2018,104:66-75.
[6]Song W,Chen B,Zhang Y.land-use Change and Socio-economic Driving Forces of Rural Settlement in China from 1996 to 2005.Chinese Geographical Science,2014,24(5):511-524.
[7]Song W,Pijanowski B C,Tayyebi A.Urban expansion and its consumption of high-quality farmland in Beijing,China.Ecological Indicators,2015(54):60-70.
[8]Liu Y,Song W,Deng X.Understanding the spatiotemporal variation of urban land expansion in oasis cities by integrating remote sensing and multi-dimensional DPSIR-based indicators.Ecological Indicators,2019,96:23-37.
[9]Holling C.Cross-scale morphology,geometry,and dynamics of ecosystems.Ecological Monographs,1992,62(4):447-502.”
[10]马小娥,白永平,纪学朋,等.干旱区内陆河流域农村居民点时空格局演变及影响因素.中国农业资源与区划,2018(1):106-116.
[11]谭博文,宋伟,陈百明,等.基于空间核密度的新型城镇化实验区农村居民点变化研究---以天津市蓟州区为例.中国农业资源与区划,2018(5):183-192.
[12]李翔,张毓涛,王慧杰,等.泽普县农村居民点空间格局演变及其影响因素.中国农业资源与区划,2017(4):108-116.
[13]李冬梅.生态脆弱区农村居民点用地演变与土地盐碱化的空间耦合关系研究.吉林:吉林大学,2017.
[14]崔闪闪,刘庆,王静.空间粒度变化对县域农村居民点景观指数的影响---以江苏省大丰市为例.中国农业资源与区划,2017,(3):20-26.
[15]陈永林,谢炳庚.江南丘陵区乡村聚落空间演化及重构以赣南地区为例.地理研究,2016,35(1):184-194.
[16]关小克,王秀丽,李昕,等.山区农村居民点演变的地貌分异与分类调控研究.河南农业大学学报,2016(3):396-403.
[17]张德礼.大城市郊区农村居民点用地规模变化规律及其驱动力研究.武汉:华中农业大学,2008.
[18]田光进,刘纪远,张增祥,等.基于遥感与GIS的中国农村居民点规模分布特征.遥感学报,2002(4):307-312.
[19]田光进,刘纪远,庄大方.近10年来中国农村居民点用地时空特征.地理学报,2003,58(5):651-658.
[20]石诗源,鲍志良,张小林.村域农村居民点景观格局及其影响因素分析---以宜兴市8个村为例.中国农学通报,2010,26(8):290-293.
[21]陶婷婷,杨洛君,马浩之.中国农村聚落的空间格局及其宏观影响因子.生态学杂志,2017,36(5):1357-1363.
[22]胡贤辉,杨钢桥,张霞,等.农村居民点用地数量变化及驱动机制研究---基于湖北仙桃市的实证.资源科学,2007,29(3):191-197.
[23]李冬梅,王冬艳,李红,等.吉中低山丘陵区农村居民点时空演变.经济地理,2016,05(36):143-151.
[24]文枫,鲁春阳,杨庆媛,等.重庆市农村居民点用地空间分异研究.水土保持研究,2010,17(44):222-227.
[25]龙花楼.中国农村宅基地转型的理论与证实.地理学报,2006,61(10):1093-1100.
[26]Porta J,Parapar J,Doallo R,et al.A population-based iterated greedy algorithm for the delimitation and zoning of rural settlements.computers Environment&Urban Systems,2013,39(3):12-26.
[27]Luo G,Shao J,Cheng A,et al.The Evolving Models of Rural Settlements and Population Distribution in Karst Mountains.Acta Geographica Sinica,2012,67(12):1666-1674.
[28]Conrad C,Rudloff M,Abdullaev I,et al.Measuring rural settlement expansion in Uzbekistan using remote sensing to support spatial planning.Applied Geography,2015(62):29-43.
[29]冯长春,赵若曦,古维迎.中国农村居民点用地变化的社会经济因素分析.中国人口资源与环境,2012,22(3):6-12.
[30]刘毅华.土地产权视角下的土地利用变化解析---以广东南海为例.中国地理学会经济地理专业委员会.2017年中国地理学会经济地理专业委员会学术年会论文摘要集.中国地理学会经济地理专业委员会:中国地理学会,2017:1.
[31]朱凤凯.北京市郊区农村居民点用地转型与功能演变研究.北京:中国农业大学,2014.
[32]Zhou G,He Y,Tang C,et al.Dynamic mechanism and present situation of rural settlement evolution in China.Journal of Geographical Sciences,2013,23(3):513-524.
[33]Pak M,Breko V.Problems of agriculture in Slovenia with special reference to Cirkovce.Geojournal,1999,46(3):257-261.
[34]李裕瑞,刘彦随,龙花楼.中国农村人口与农村居民点用地的时空变化.自然资源学报,2010,25(10):1629-1638.
[35]冯应斌,杨庆媛.农村居民点空间格局演变及效应研究评述.人文地理,2015(3):7-11.
[36]师满江,颉耀文,曹琦.干旱区绿洲农村居民点景观格局演变及机制分析.地理研究,2016,04(35):692-702.
[37]蔡为民,唐华俊,陈佑启,等.近20年黄河三角洲典型地区农村居民点景观格局.资源科学,2004,26(5):89-97.
[38]刘心怡.近30年渝南地区农村居民点时空演变研究.重庆:西南大学,2013.
[39]曹子剑,张凤荣,姜广辉,等.北京市平谷区不同区域农村居民点内部结构差异分析.地理科学进展,2008,27(2):121-126.
[40]周伟,曹银贵,王静,等.三峡库区近30年农村居民点格局变化与特征分析.农业工程学报,2011,27(4):294-300.
[41]苏木兰,戴文远,黄华富,等.快速城镇化背景下海岛农村居民点空间演变---以福建海坛岛为例.热带地理,2016,36(6):1005-1018.
[42]李翔,张毓涛,王慧杰.泽普县农村居民点空间格局演变及其影响因素.中国农业资源与区划,2017,38(4):108-116.
[43]Sun P,Xu Y,Liu Q,et al.Spatiotemporal evolution and driving forces of changes in rural settlements in the poverty belt around Beijing and Tianjin:a case study of Zhangjiakou city,Hebei Province.Journal of Mountain Science,2017,14(5):980-997.
[44]Tian G,Qiao Z,Zhang Y.The investigation of relationship between rural settlement density,size,spatial distribution and its geophysical parameters of China using Landsat TM images.Ecological Modelling,2012,231(4):25-36.
[45]吴江国,张小林,冀亚哲,等.县域尺度下交通对乡村聚落景观格局的影响研究---以宿州市埇桥区为例.人文地理,2013,28(1):110-115.
[46]谭雪兰,张炎思,谭洁,等.江南丘陵区农村居民点空间演变特征及影响因素研究---以长沙市为例.人文地理,2016(1):89-93,139.
[47]姜广辉,张凤荣,周丁扬,等.北京市农村居民点用地内部结构特征的区位分析.资源科学,2007,29(2):109-116.
[48]Zhou G,He Y,Tang C,et al.Dynamic mechanism and present situation of rural settlement evolution in China.Journal of Geographical Sciences,2013,23(3):513-524.
[49]冯应斌,杨庆媛.1980-2012年村域居民点演变特征及其驱动力分析.农业工程学报,2016,5(32):28-288,315.
[50]张佰林,蔡为民,张凤荣,等.隋朝至1949年山东省沂水县农村居民点的时空格局及驱动力.地理研究,2016,35(6):1141-1150.
[51]任志远,张艳芳.土地利用变化与生态安全评价.北京:科学出版社,2003.
[52]Lambin E,Mda R,Geist H.Are agricultural land-use models able to predict changes in land-use intensity?.Agriculture Ecosystems&Environment,2000,82(1-3):321-331.
[53]裴彬,潘韬.土地利用系统动态变化模拟研究进展.地理科学进展,2010(9):1060-1066.
[54]田光进.基于遥感与GIS的90年代中国城乡居民点用地时空特征研究.北京:中国科学院研究生院(遥感应用研究所),2002.
[55]姜广辉,张凤荣,秦静,等.北京山区农村居民点分布变化及其与环境的关系.农业工程学报,2006,22(11):85-92.
[56]陈振杰,李满春,刘永学.基于GIS的桐庐县农村居民点空间格局研究.长江流域资源与环境,2008,17(2):180-184.
[57]龚健,杨建新,李亚芳.基于案例推理元胞自动机的农村居民点变化模拟.资源科学,2015,37(9):1797-1806.
[58]姜广辉,张凤荣,孔祥斌.北京山区农村居民点整理用地转换方向模拟.农业工程学报,2009,25(2):214-221.
[59]Wang J,Zhao J,Wu T,et al.A Co-evolution model of planning space and self-built space for compact settlements in rural China.Nexus Network Journal,2017,19(2):1-29.
[60]White R,Engelen G,Uljee I.The use of constrained cellular automata for high-resolution modelling of urban land-use dynamics.Environ Plann B.Environment&Planning B Planning&Design,2008,24(3):323-343.
[61]曹萍.GIS支持下的农村居民点分布特征及用地扩展模拟研究---以柘溪镇为例.长沙:湖南科技大学,2013.
[62]王晨懿.地质灾害威胁下山地农村居民点用地规划适宜性评价及空间模拟研究---以都江堰市向峨乡为例.成都:四川农业大学,2011.
[63]郗凤明,贺红士,胡远满,等.营口市城市及村镇聚落增长与土地利用变化的模拟预测.应用生态学报,2008,19(7):1529-1536.
[64]季翔,刘黎明,李洪庆.基于生命周期的乡村景观格局演变的预测方法---以湖南省金井镇为例.应用生态学报,2014,25(11):3270-3278.
[65]黄明,张学霞,张建军,等.基于CLUE-S模型的罗玉沟流域多尺度土地利用变化模拟.资源科学,2012(4):769-776.
[66]王亮,卞正富.基于CLUE-S模型的崇明东部土地利用变化的多情景分析;中国土地科学论坛,2012.
[67]卢德彬,毛婉柳,禹真,等.基于改进MCR模型的山区农村居民点空间增长模拟研究.水土保持研究,2016,23(5):322-349.
[68]Yang X,jin X,Du X,et al.Multi-agent model-based historical cropland spatial pattern reconstruction for 1661-1952,Shandong Province,China.Global and Planetary Change,2016(143):175-188.
[69]Abreu C,Zaghetto A,Macchiavello B,et al.A multi-agent model system for land-use change simulation.Environmental Modelling&Software,2013,42(4):30-46.
[70]Zhang Y,Sun Y,Chen Z.Simulation of land use change using multi-agent model.Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering,2013,29(4):255-265.
[71]Guangjin T,Bingran M,Xinliang X,et al.Simulation of urban expansion and encroachment using cellular automata and multi-agent system model-A case study of Tianjin metropolitan region,China.Ecological Indicators,2016(70):439-450.
[72]Liu R,Jiang D,Shi L.Urban land Use Development Research Based on Multi-agent Simulation System.Scientia Geographica Sinica,2017,37(4):537-545.
[2]Zuidema G,Born G,Alcamo J,et al.Simulating changes in global land cover as affected by economic and climatic factors.Water Air&Soil Pollution,1994,76(1-2):163-198.
[3]张华,张勃.国际土地利用/覆盖变化模型研究综述.自然资源学报,2005,20(3):422-431.
[4]韩会然.北京市土地利用空间格局演化模拟及预测.地理科学进展,2015,34(8):976-986.
[5]Lang Y,Song W,Deng X.Projected land use changes impacts on water yields in the karst mountain areas of China.Physics and Chemistry of the Earth,2018,104:66-75.
[6]Song W,Chen B,Zhang Y.land-use Change and Socio-economic Driving Forces of Rural Settlement in China from 1996 to 2005.Chinese Geographical Science,2014,24(5):511-524.
[7]Song W,Pijanowski B C,Tayyebi A.Urban expansion and its consumption of high-quality farmland in Beijing,China.Ecological Indicators,2015(54):60-70.
[8]Liu Y,Song W,Deng X.Understanding the spatiotemporal variation of urban land expansion in oasis cities by integrating remote sensing and multi-dimensional DPSIR-based indicators.Ecological Indicators,2019,96:23-37.
[9]Holling C.Cross-scale morphology,geometry,and dynamics of ecosystems.Ecological Monographs,1992,62(4):447-502.”
[10]马小娥,白永平,纪学朋,等.干旱区内陆河流域农村居民点时空格局演变及影响因素.中国农业资源与区划,2018(1):106-116.
[11]谭博文,宋伟,陈百明,等.基于空间核密度的新型城镇化实验区农村居民点变化研究---以天津市蓟州区为例.中国农业资源与区划,2018(5):183-192.
[12]李翔,张毓涛,王慧杰,等.泽普县农村居民点空间格局演变及其影响因素.中国农业资源与区划,2017(4):108-116.
[13]李冬梅.生态脆弱区农村居民点用地演变与土地盐碱化的空间耦合关系研究.吉林:吉林大学,2017.
[14]崔闪闪,刘庆,王静.空间粒度变化对县域农村居民点景观指数的影响---以江苏省大丰市为例.中国农业资源与区划,2017,(3):20-26.
[15]陈永林,谢炳庚.江南丘陵区乡村聚落空间演化及重构以赣南地区为例.地理研究,2016,35(1):184-194.
[16]关小克,王秀丽,李昕,等.山区农村居民点演变的地貌分异与分类调控研究.河南农业大学学报,2016(3):396-403.
[17]张德礼.大城市郊区农村居民点用地规模变化规律及其驱动力研究.武汉:华中农业大学,2008.
[18]田光进,刘纪远,张增祥,等.基于遥感与GIS的中国农村居民点规模分布特征.遥感学报,2002(4):307-312.
[19]田光进,刘纪远,庄大方.近10年来中国农村居民点用地时空特征.地理学报,2003,58(5):651-658.
[20]石诗源,鲍志良,张小林.村域农村居民点景观格局及其影响因素分析---以宜兴市8个村为例.中国农学通报,2010,26(8):290-293.
[21]陶婷婷,杨洛君,马浩之.中国农村聚落的空间格局及其宏观影响因子.生态学杂志,2017,36(5):1357-1363.
[22]胡贤辉,杨钢桥,张霞,等.农村居民点用地数量变化及驱动机制研究---基于湖北仙桃市的实证.资源科学,2007,29(3):191-197.
[23]李冬梅,王冬艳,李红,等.吉中低山丘陵区农村居民点时空演变.经济地理,2016,05(36):143-151.
[24]文枫,鲁春阳,杨庆媛,等.重庆市农村居民点用地空间分异研究.水土保持研究,2010,17(44):222-227.
[25]龙花楼.中国农村宅基地转型的理论与证实.地理学报,2006,61(10):1093-1100.
[26]Porta J,Parapar J,Doallo R,et al.A population-based iterated greedy algorithm for the delimitation and zoning of rural settlements.computers Environment&Urban Systems,2013,39(3):12-26.
[27]Luo G,Shao J,Cheng A,et al.The Evolving Models of Rural Settlements and Population Distribution in Karst Mountains.Acta Geographica Sinica,2012,67(12):1666-1674.
[28]Conrad C,Rudloff M,Abdullaev I,et al.Measuring rural settlement expansion in Uzbekistan using remote sensing to support spatial planning.Applied Geography,2015(62):29-43.
[29]冯长春,赵若曦,古维迎.中国农村居民点用地变化的社会经济因素分析.中国人口资源与环境,2012,22(3):6-12.
[30]刘毅华.土地产权视角下的土地利用变化解析---以广东南海为例.中国地理学会经济地理专业委员会.2017年中国地理学会经济地理专业委员会学术年会论文摘要集.中国地理学会经济地理专业委员会:中国地理学会,2017:1.
[31]朱凤凯.北京市郊区农村居民点用地转型与功能演变研究.北京:中国农业大学,2014.
[32]Zhou G,He Y,Tang C,et al.Dynamic mechanism and present situation of rural settlement evolution in China.Journal of Geographical Sciences,2013,23(3):513-524.
[33]Pak M,Breko V.Problems of agriculture in Slovenia with special reference to Cirkovce.Geojournal,1999,46(3):257-261.
[34]李裕瑞,刘彦随,龙花楼.中国农村人口与农村居民点用地的时空变化.自然资源学报,2010,25(10):1629-1638.
[35]冯应斌,杨庆媛.农村居民点空间格局演变及效应研究评述.人文地理,2015(3):7-11.
[36]师满江,颉耀文,曹琦.干旱区绿洲农村居民点景观格局演变及机制分析.地理研究,2016,04(35):692-702.
[37]蔡为民,唐华俊,陈佑启,等.近20年黄河三角洲典型地区农村居民点景观格局.资源科学,2004,26(5):89-97.
[38]刘心怡.近30年渝南地区农村居民点时空演变研究.重庆:西南大学,2013.
[39]曹子剑,张凤荣,姜广辉,等.北京市平谷区不同区域农村居民点内部结构差异分析.地理科学进展,2008,27(2):121-126.
[40]周伟,曹银贵,王静,等.三峡库区近30年农村居民点格局变化与特征分析.农业工程学报,2011,27(4):294-300.
[41]苏木兰,戴文远,黄华富,等.快速城镇化背景下海岛农村居民点空间演变---以福建海坛岛为例.热带地理,2016,36(6):1005-1018.
[42]李翔,张毓涛,王慧杰.泽普县农村居民点空间格局演变及其影响因素.中国农业资源与区划,2017,38(4):108-116.
[43]Sun P,Xu Y,Liu Q,et al.Spatiotemporal evolution and driving forces of changes in rural settlements in the poverty belt around Beijing and Tianjin:a case study of Zhangjiakou city,Hebei Province.Journal of Mountain Science,2017,14(5):980-997.
[44]Tian G,Qiao Z,Zhang Y.The investigation of relationship between rural settlement density,size,spatial distribution and its geophysical parameters of China using Landsat TM images.Ecological Modelling,2012,231(4):25-36.
[45]吴江国,张小林,冀亚哲,等.县域尺度下交通对乡村聚落景观格局的影响研究---以宿州市埇桥区为例.人文地理,2013,28(1):110-115.
[46]谭雪兰,张炎思,谭洁,等.江南丘陵区农村居民点空间演变特征及影响因素研究---以长沙市为例.人文地理,2016(1):89-93,139.
[47]姜广辉,张凤荣,周丁扬,等.北京市农村居民点用地内部结构特征的区位分析.资源科学,2007,29(2):109-116.
[48]Zhou G,He Y,Tang C,et al.Dynamic mechanism and present situation of rural settlement evolution in China.Journal of Geographical Sciences,2013,23(3):513-524.
[49]冯应斌,杨庆媛.1980-2012年村域居民点演变特征及其驱动力分析.农业工程学报,2016,5(32):28-288,315.
[50]张佰林,蔡为民,张凤荣,等.隋朝至1949年山东省沂水县农村居民点的时空格局及驱动力.地理研究,2016,35(6):1141-1150.
[51]任志远,张艳芳.土地利用变化与生态安全评价.北京:科学出版社,2003.
[52]Lambin E,Mda R,Geist H.Are agricultural land-use models able to predict changes in land-use intensity?.Agriculture Ecosystems&Environment,2000,82(1-3):321-331.
[53]裴彬,潘韬.土地利用系统动态变化模拟研究进展.地理科学进展,2010(9):1060-1066.
[54]田光进.基于遥感与GIS的90年代中国城乡居民点用地时空特征研究.北京:中国科学院研究生院(遥感应用研究所),2002.
[55]姜广辉,张凤荣,秦静,等.北京山区农村居民点分布变化及其与环境的关系.农业工程学报,2006,22(11):85-92.
[56]陈振杰,李满春,刘永学.基于GIS的桐庐县农村居民点空间格局研究.长江流域资源与环境,2008,17(2):180-184.
[57]龚健,杨建新,李亚芳.基于案例推理元胞自动机的农村居民点变化模拟.资源科学,2015,37(9):1797-1806.
[58]姜广辉,张凤荣,孔祥斌.北京山区农村居民点整理用地转换方向模拟.农业工程学报,2009,25(2):214-221.
[59]Wang J,Zhao J,Wu T,et al.A Co-evolution model of planning space and self-built space for compact settlements in rural China.Nexus Network Journal,2017,19(2):1-29.
[60]White R,Engelen G,Uljee I.The use of constrained cellular automata for high-resolution modelling of urban land-use dynamics.Environ Plann B.Environment&Planning B Planning&Design,2008,24(3):323-343.
[61]曹萍.GIS支持下的农村居民点分布特征及用地扩展模拟研究---以柘溪镇为例.长沙:湖南科技大学,2013.
[62]王晨懿.地质灾害威胁下山地农村居民点用地规划适宜性评价及空间模拟研究---以都江堰市向峨乡为例.成都:四川农业大学,2011.
[63]郗凤明,贺红士,胡远满,等.营口市城市及村镇聚落增长与土地利用变化的模拟预测.应用生态学报,2008,19(7):1529-1536.
[64]季翔,刘黎明,李洪庆.基于生命周期的乡村景观格局演变的预测方法---以湖南省金井镇为例.应用生态学报,2014,25(11):3270-3278.
[65]黄明,张学霞,张建军,等.基于CLUE-S模型的罗玉沟流域多尺度土地利用变化模拟.资源科学,2012(4):769-776.
[66]王亮,卞正富.基于CLUE-S模型的崇明东部土地利用变化的多情景分析;中国土地科学论坛,2012.
[67]卢德彬,毛婉柳,禹真,等.基于改进MCR模型的山区农村居民点空间增长模拟研究.水土保持研究,2016,23(5):322-349.
[68]Yang X,jin X,Du X,et al.Multi-agent model-based historical cropland spatial pattern reconstruction for 1661-1952,Shandong Province,China.Global and Planetary Change,2016(143):175-188.
[69]Abreu C,Zaghetto A,Macchiavello B,et al.A multi-agent model system for land-use change simulation.Environmental Modelling&Software,2013,42(4):30-46.
[70]Zhang Y,Sun Y,Chen Z.Simulation of land use change using multi-agent model.Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering,2013,29(4):255-265.
[71]Guangjin T,Bingran M,Xinliang X,et al.Simulation of urban expansion and encroachment using cellular automata and multi-agent system model-A case study of Tianjin metropolitan region,China.Ecological Indicators,2016(70):439-450.
[72]Liu R,Jiang D,Shi L.Urban land Use Development Research Based on Multi-agent Simulation System.Scientia Geographica Sinica,2017,37(4):537-545.