能源节约偏向型技术进步对经济增长的影响研究
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摘要
本文通过构建多要素的CES生产函数和包含偏向型技术进步的超越函数模型,实证考察中国能源节约偏向型技术进步对经济增长的影响,及企业不同来源技术进步要素偏向性及其经济增长效应。研究发现:1991-2015年中国技术进步整体上偏向资本和能源要素,偏向资本和能源使用、劳动节约型;要素替代弹性σ<1,能源增强型技术进步表现为能源节约偏向型;能源节约偏向型技术进步主要通过能源增强型技术进步指数效应促进全要素生产率提高;企业不同来源技术进步的要素偏向性及其经济增长效应存在明显差异,自主创新R&D的经济增长效应最高,技术改进的经济增长效应为负;不同来源技术进步的有偏技术进步经济增长效应明显大于中性技术进步经济增长效应。
In this paper, by constructing multi-factor CES production function and transcendental function model including biased technological progress to empirically analyze the impact of China's energy-saving biased-oriented technological progress on economic growth,and investigate different source technology progress factor bias and its economic growth effect. The study finds that: from 1991 to 2015, China's technological progress is generally biased toward capital and energy, bias towards capital-using, energy-using and labor saving. Element substitution elasticity is less than 1, energy-enhanced technology advances are manifested as energy-saving biased-type technological progress.The energy-saving biased-type technological progress promotes the improvement of total factor productivity through energy-enhanced technology progress index effect. The bias of technological advance from different sources and its economic growth effect are obviously different, the economic growth effect of independent innovation R&D is the highest, the economic growth effect of technological improvement is negative.The effect of biased technical progress on economic growth from different sources of technological progress is significantly greater than the effect of neutral technological progress on economic growth.
In this paper, by constructing multi-factor CES production function and transcendental function model including biased technological progress to empirically analyze the impact of China's energy-saving biased-oriented technological progress on economic growth,and investigate different source technology progress factor bias and its economic growth effect. The study finds that: from 1991 to 2015, China's technological progress is generally biased toward capital and energy, bias towards capital-using, energy-using and labor saving. Element substitution elasticity is less than 1, energy-enhanced technology advances are manifested as energy-saving biased-type technological progress.The energy-saving biased-type technological progress promotes the improvement of total factor productivity through energy-enhanced technology progress index effect. The bias of technological advance from different sources and its economic growth effect are obviously different, the economic growth effect of independent innovation R&D is the highest, the economic growth effect of technological improvement is negative.The effect of biased technical progress on economic growth from different sources of technological progress is significantly greater than the effect of neutral technological progress on economic growth.
引文
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[12] Klump R,De La Grandville O.Economic growth and the elasticity of substitution: Two theorems and some suggestions[J].The American Economic Review,2000,(90):282-291.
[13] 钟世川,毛艳华.中国全要素生产率的再测算与分解研究——基于多要素技术进步偏向的视角[J].经济评论,2017,(203):3-14.
[14] 雷钦礼.偏向性技术进步的测算和分析[J].统计研究,2013,(4): 83-91.
[15] 余泳泽. 中国省际全要素生产率动态空间收敛性研究[J].世界经济,2015,(10):35-43.
[16] 张云辉,王天尧.偏向型技术进步与中国经济增长方式的转变[J].哈尔滨商业大学学(社会科学版),2014,(139):68-76.
[2] 董直庆,戴杰,等.技术进步方向及其劳动收入分配效应检验[J].上海财经大学学报,2013,(5):65-72.
[3] 董直庆,陈锐.技术进步偏向性变动对全要素生产率增长的影响[J].管理学报,2014,(11):1199-1207.
[4] 钟世川,毛艳华.中国经济增长率的分解——基于要素分配参数的讨论[J].统计研究,2016,(33):22-29.
[5] Gordon R J. Does the“new economy”measure up to the great inventions of the past?(Digest Summary)[J].Journal of economic Perspectives,2000,14(4):49-74.
[6] Greenwood J,Jovanovic B.Accounting for Growth New Developments in Productivity Analysis[M]. University of Chicago Press,2001.
[7] 宋冬林,王林辉,等.资本体现式技术进步及其对经济增长的贡献率(1981-2007)[J].中国社会科学,2011,(2):91-106.
[8] 鲍勤.能源节约型技术进步下碳关税对中国经济与环境的影响——基于动态递归可计算一般均衡模型[J].系统科学与数学,2011,(31):175-186.
[9] 王林辉,董直庆.资本体现式技术进步、技术合意结构和我国生产率增长来源[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2012,(5):3-18.
[10] 董直庆,赵景,等.有偏技术进步、技术来源及其经济增长效应[J].东南大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2017,(19):65-74.
[11] 封永刚,蒋雨彤,等.中国经济增长动力分解:有偏技术进步与要素投入增长[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2017,(9):39-56.
[12] Klump R,De La Grandville O.Economic growth and the elasticity of substitution: Two theorems and some suggestions[J].The American Economic Review,2000,(90):282-291.
[13] 钟世川,毛艳华.中国全要素生产率的再测算与分解研究——基于多要素技术进步偏向的视角[J].经济评论,2017,(203):3-14.
[14] 雷钦礼.偏向性技术进步的测算和分析[J].统计研究,2013,(4): 83-91.
[15] 余泳泽. 中国省际全要素生产率动态空间收敛性研究[J].世界经济,2015,(10):35-43.
[16] 张云辉,王天尧.偏向型技术进步与中国经济增长方式的转变[J].哈尔滨商业大学学(社会科学版),2014,(139):68-76.