公共财政支出的社会安全治理效应:理论逻辑、实证检验与动态分析
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摘要
从国家或政府的角度来看,公共财政源于市场失灵和公共需要的"公共性",以及"社会安全治理"源于政府责任与非传统安全视角的"社会性",使得两者无论是在内在逻辑层次,还是外在的表现形式上,都是密切关联且相辅相成的。基于公共财政与社会安全治理的内在逻辑一致性,利用状态空间模型对公共财政支出的社会安全治理效应进行实证检验和动态分析,可以发现在所考察的1986—2016年,公共安全支出、公共教育支出和社会福利支出对于社会安全治理水平的变化有着显著的影响,其动态变化过程也提供了更多信息。从发展态势上看,当前我国公共财政支出的社会安全治理效应,总体上正逐步趋于好转。因此,应当通过进一步加大投入力度和提高管理绩效来予以维持和改进。
In the view of the state or government,public finance originates from the "publicity" of market failure and public needs,and "social security governance" originates from the "sociality" of government responsibility and non-traditional security perspective,which makes both of them closely related and mutually reinforcing in both internal logical level and external manifestation.Based on the inherent logical consistency of public finance and social security governance,this paper makes an empirical test and dynamic analysis of the social security governance effect of public finance expenditure by using the state space model. It can be found that public security expenditure,public education expenditure and social welfare expenditure have a significant impact on the change of social security governance level from 1986 to 2016. The state change process also provides more information. From the development trend,the social security governance effect of public financial expenditure in China is gradually improving. Therefore,it should be maintained and improved by further increasing investment and improving management performance.
In the view of the state or government,public finance originates from the "publicity" of market failure and public needs,and "social security governance" originates from the "sociality" of government responsibility and non-traditional security perspective,which makes both of them closely related and mutually reinforcing in both internal logical level and external manifestation.Based on the inherent logical consistency of public finance and social security governance,this paper makes an empirical test and dynamic analysis of the social security governance effect of public finance expenditure by using the state space model. It can be found that public security expenditure,public education expenditure and social welfare expenditure have a significant impact on the change of social security governance level from 1986 to 2016. The state change process also provides more information. From the development trend,the social security governance effect of public financial expenditure in China is gradually improving. Therefore,it should be maintained and improved by further increasing investment and improving management performance.
引文
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[14]Handley S M,Angst C M. The Impact of Culture On The Relationship Between Governance And Opportunism In Outsourcing Relationships[J]. Strategic Management Journal,2015,36(9):1412-1433.
[15]李宏.信用风险视角下的公共危机及其应对论略:基于社会伦理与经济伦理的分析[J].广州大学学报:社会科学版,2014(10):24-29.
[16]郭庆旺,贾俊雪.公共教育政策、经济增长与人力资本溢价[J].经济研究,2009(10):22-35.
[17]范如国.复杂网络结构范型下的社会治理协同创新[J].中国社会科学,2014(4):98-120.
[2]王浦劬.国家治理、政府治理和社会治理的含义及其相互关系[J].国家行政学院学报,2014(3):11-17.
[3]安体富.完善公共财政制度,逐步实现公共服务均等化[J].财经问题研究,2007(7):3-8.
[4][美]加尔布雷斯.丰裕社会[M].徐世平,译.上海:上海人民出版社,1965:86.
[5]马海涛,任强.我国中央对地方财政转移支付的问题与对策[J].华中师范大学学报:人文社会科学版,2015(6):43-49.
[6]高培勇.公共财政:概念界说与演变脉络:兼论中国财政改革30年的基本轨迹[J].经济研究,2008(12):4-16.
[7]吕冰洋.大国财政与社会治理[J].财政监督,2015(10):8-9.
[8]李宏.新形势下公共安全支出与社会稳定维护的实证分析[J].广州大学学报:社会科学版,2018(4)16-24.
[9]王思斌,关信平.经济新常态下的社会政策议题[J].中国社会科学,2017(6):80,207.
[10]胡税根,翁列恩.构建政府权力规制的公共治理模式[J].中国社会科学,2017(11):99-117.
[11]陈刚,等.中国犯罪治理的财政支出偏向:选择“大棒”还是“胡萝卜”?[J].南开经济研究,2010(2):117-135.
[12]魏永忠.论我国城市社会安全指数的预警等级与指标体系[J].中国行政管理,2007(2):89-94.
[13]DeJong D N,Liesenfeld R,Moura G V,et al. Efficient likelihood evaluation of state-space representations[J].The Review of Economic Studies,2013,80(2):538-567.
[14]Handley S M,Angst C M. The Impact of Culture On The Relationship Between Governance And Opportunism In Outsourcing Relationships[J]. Strategic Management Journal,2015,36(9):1412-1433.
[15]李宏.信用风险视角下的公共危机及其应对论略:基于社会伦理与经济伦理的分析[J].广州大学学报:社会科学版,2014(10):24-29.
[16]郭庆旺,贾俊雪.公共教育政策、经济增长与人力资本溢价[J].经济研究,2009(10):22-35.
[17]范如国.复杂网络结构范型下的社会治理协同创新[J].中国社会科学,2014(4):98-120.