伊宁市城市化与生态环境耦合协调性评价与分析
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摘要
文章从人口、经济、社会、压力、状态5个方面构建城市化与生态环境测度指标体系,采用单因素方差和权重系数法对伊宁市城市化和生态环境综合指数进行计算,并运用耦合协调度模型对其城市化与生态环境的耦合协调度进行判别分析。结果表明:伊宁城市化经历了缓慢发展期、高速发展期、快速推进期3个阶段,城市化子系统和各系统要素呈现波动上升趋势;生态环境子系统和系统各要素之间具有较高的趋同性,处于波动上升趋势,总的发展态势呈现"M"型;城市化与生态环境的耦合状态呈现指数函数增长,城市化发展长期滞后于生态环境水平,导致耦合协调度较低,在耦合类型上经历了中度失调、轻度失调、濒临失调和勉强协调4个发展阶段,城市化与生态环境综合指数的差距逐渐缩小,耦合协调度趋向良好状态发展。
The index system of urbanization and ecological environment measurement was constructed from five aspects including population, economy, society, pressure and status. The single factor variance and weight coefficient method were used to calculate the comprehensive index of urbanization and eco-environment in Yining, Xinjiang Autonomous Region, and the coupling coordination degree model was used to discriminate the coupling degree between urbanization and ecological environment. It is show that the urbanization has experienced 3 stages, that is, slow development stage, high speed development stage and rapid advance stage. The urbanization subsystem and system elements show an upward trend of volatility. There is a high degree of convergence between the subsystems of ecosystem and systems, in the trend of fluctuation, the overall development trend is "M". The coupling state of urbanization and ecological environment presents exponential function growth, the development of urbanization has lagged behind the level of ecological environment for a long time, resulting in a low degree of coupling coordination. With the aspect of the coupling type, it experienced four stages, including moderate maladjustment,mild maladjustment, imbalances and barely coordinated, the gap between urbanization and ecological environment is narrowing gradually, and the degree of coupling and coordination tends to develop in a good state.
The index system of urbanization and ecological environment measurement was constructed from five aspects including population, economy, society, pressure and status. The single factor variance and weight coefficient method were used to calculate the comprehensive index of urbanization and eco-environment in Yining, Xinjiang Autonomous Region, and the coupling coordination degree model was used to discriminate the coupling degree between urbanization and ecological environment. It is show that the urbanization has experienced 3 stages, that is, slow development stage, high speed development stage and rapid advance stage. The urbanization subsystem and system elements show an upward trend of volatility. There is a high degree of convergence between the subsystems of ecosystem and systems, in the trend of fluctuation, the overall development trend is "M". The coupling state of urbanization and ecological environment presents exponential function growth, the development of urbanization has lagged behind the level of ecological environment for a long time, resulting in a low degree of coupling coordination. With the aspect of the coupling type, it experienced four stages, including moderate maladjustment,mild maladjustment, imbalances and barely coordinated, the gap between urbanization and ecological environment is narrowing gradually, and the degree of coupling and coordination tends to develop in a good state.
引文
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[18]梁振民,陈才,刘继生,等.东北地区城市化发展质量的综合测度与层级特征研究[J].地理科学,2013,33(8):926-934.
[19]马利邦,牛叔文,李怡欣.甘肃省城市化与生态环境耦合的量化分析[J].城市发展研究,2010,17(5):52-58.
[20]宋超山,马俊杰,杨风,等.城市化与资源环境系统耦合研究:以西安市为例[J].干旱区资源与环境,2010,24(5):85-90.
[21]刘耀彬,李仁东,宋学锋.中国城市化与生态环境耦合度分析[J].自然资源学报,2005,20(1):105-112.
[2]郭月婷,徐建刚.基于模糊物元的淮河流域城市化与生态环境系统的耦合协调测度[J].应用生态学报,2013,24(5):1244-1252.Guo Yueting,Xu Jiangang.Coupling coordination measurement of urbanization and eco-environment system in Huaihe River Basin based on fuzzy matter element theory[J].Journal of Applied Ecology,2013,24(5):1244-1252.
[3]Grossman G M,Krueger A B.Environmental impacts of a north American Free Trade Agreement[J].Social Science Electronic Publishing,2000,8(2):223-250.
[4]Panayotou T.Empirical tests and policy analysis of environmental degradation at different stages of economic development[J].Ilo Working Papers,1993,4.
[5]Henderson V.The urbanization process and economic growth:the so-what question[J].Journal of Economic Growth,2003,8(1):47-71.
[6]Barney Cohen.Urbanization in developing countries:current trends,future projections,and key challenges for sustainability[J].Technology in Society,2006,28(1):63-80.
[7]Rahman A,Kumar Y,Fazal S,et al.Urbanization and quality of urban environment using remote sensing and GIS techniques in east Delhi-India[J].Journal of Geographic Information System,2011,3(1):62-84.
[8]Mcdonald R,Güneralp B,Zipperer W,et al.The future of global urbanization and the environment[J].Solutions,2014,5(6):60-69.
[9]Christiaensen L,De Weerdt J,Kanbur R.Urbanization and poverty reduction:the role of secondary towns in Tanzania[J].Iob Analyses&Policy Briefs,2016.
[10]马世骏,王如松.社会-经济-自然复合生态系统[J].生态学报,1984,4(1):3-11.Ma Shijun,Wang Rusong.Social-economic-natural complex ecosystem[J].Acta Ecologica Sinica,1984,4(1):3-11.
[11]黄金川,方创琳.城市化与生态环境交互耦合机制与规律性分析[J].地理研究,2003,22(2):211-220.Huang Jinchuan,Fang Chuanglin.Analysis of coupling mechanism and rules between urbanization and eco-environment[J].Geographical Research,2003,22(2):211-220.
[12]刘耀彬,李仁东,宋学锋.中国区域城市化与生态环境耦合的关联分析[J].地理学报,2005,60(2):237-247.Liu Yaobin,Li Rendong,Song Xuefeng.Grey associative analysis of regional urbanization and eco-environment coupling in China[J].Acta Geographical Sinica,2005,60(2):237-247.
[13]乔标,方创琳,黄金川.干旱区城市化与生态环境交互耦合的规律性及其验证[J].生态学报,2006,26(7):2183-2190.Qiao Biao,Fang Chuanglin,Huang Jinchuan.The coupling law and its validation of the interaction between urbanization and eco-environment in arid area[J].Acta Ecologica Sinica,2006,26(7):2183-2190.
[14]吴玉鸣,柏玲.广西城市化与环境系统的耦合协调测度与互动分析[J].地理科学,2011,31(12):1474-1479.Wu Yuming,Bai Ling.Coupling and coordination measurement and interactive analysis of urbanization and environment system in Guangxi Province[J].Scientia Geographical Sinica,2011,31(12):1474-1479.
[15]孙平军,修春亮,张天娇.熵变视角的吉林省城市化与生态环境的耦合关系判别[J].应用生态学报,2014,25(3):875-882.
[16]冯霞.新疆城镇化与生态环境耦合关系分析[J].地域研究与开发,2016,35(3):123-127.Feng Xia.Coupling relationship between urbanization and ecological environment of Xinjiang[J].Areal Research and Development,2016,35(3):123-127.
[17]杨晶,金晶,吴泗宗.珠三角地区城市化与生态环境协调发展的动态耦合分析:以珠海市为例[J].地域研究与开发,2013,32(5):105-108.Yang Jing,Jin Jing,Wu Sizong.Dynamic coupling analysis between urbanization and eco-environment in Pearl River Delta:taking Zhuhai City as an example[J].Areal Research and Development,2013,32(5):105-108.
[18]梁振民,陈才,刘继生,等.东北地区城市化发展质量的综合测度与层级特征研究[J].地理科学,2013,33(8):926-934.
[19]马利邦,牛叔文,李怡欣.甘肃省城市化与生态环境耦合的量化分析[J].城市发展研究,2010,17(5):52-58.
[20]宋超山,马俊杰,杨风,等.城市化与资源环境系统耦合研究:以西安市为例[J].干旱区资源与环境,2010,24(5):85-90.
[21]刘耀彬,李仁东,宋学锋.中国城市化与生态环境耦合度分析[J].自然资源学报,2005,20(1):105-112.