基本公共服务与经济发展互动耦合机制及时空特征——以江苏省13城市为例
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摘要
实现基本公共服务均等化并缩小区域经济差距,是新时期区域协调发展面临的主要问题。以江苏省13城市为案例,利用耦合协调模型,实证揭示江苏省基本公共服务、经济发展以及两者耦合协调度的总体特征和时空特征。研究发现:基本公共服务的改善可以通过经济要素条件的传递机制推动经济发展,而经济发展又反过来推动基本公共服务的改善,两者之间存在相互促进又相互制约的耦合协调关系。这种关系在不同经济发展水平阶段表现出不同特征。而在短期内则呈现"升—降—升—降"的小振幅波浪式变化,基本公共服务建设的速度决定拐点出现的周期长短。江苏省基本公共服务与经济发展的耦合协调关系总体表现为相对协调,但也呈现出苏南苏中苏北地带性差异,2011—2013年全省除扬州市之外的其他12市耦合协调性都在不同程度上升,到2014年除扬州和镇江两市外,其他11城市耦合协调性都出现了拐点。最后,提出促进基本公共服务和经济耦合协调发展的路径对策。
Achieving the equalization of basic public service and narrowing the regional economic gap are the main problems of regional harmonious development in the new period. Based on the analysis of the interaction mechanism between the basic public service and economic development, this paper, taking 13 cities of Jiangsu Province, empirically revealed the general and temporal-spatial characteristics of the coupling coordination degree by using the coupled coordination model. The study finds that the improvement of basic public services can promote the economic development through the transmission mechanism of economic elements, and economic development gives a reverse push to improve the basic public services. There is a coupled and coordination relationship between them that promotes and restricts each other. This relationship presents different stage characteristics by the different level of economic development and shows a small-amplitude wave-like variation of "up-down-up-down" in the short terms. The speed of basic public service construction determines the cycle length of the inflection point. The coupled and coordination relationship between basic public services and economic development in Jiangsu Province is generally coordinated, but it also shows the regional differences between Southern Jiangsu, Central Jiangsu and Northern Jiangsu. In 2011-2013, the coupled coordination degree of 12 cities except Yangzhou rised in different degrees. Apart from the cities of Yangzhou and Zhenjiang, the coupled coordination of other 11 cities have shown an inflection point by 2014. Finally, this paper proposes the path strategy to promote the coupled coordinated development between basic public services and economic.
Achieving the equalization of basic public service and narrowing the regional economic gap are the main problems of regional harmonious development in the new period. Based on the analysis of the interaction mechanism between the basic public service and economic development, this paper, taking 13 cities of Jiangsu Province, empirically revealed the general and temporal-spatial characteristics of the coupling coordination degree by using the coupled coordination model. The study finds that the improvement of basic public services can promote the economic development through the transmission mechanism of economic elements, and economic development gives a reverse push to improve the basic public services. There is a coupled and coordination relationship between them that promotes and restricts each other. This relationship presents different stage characteristics by the different level of economic development and shows a small-amplitude wave-like variation of "up-down-up-down" in the short terms. The speed of basic public service construction determines the cycle length of the inflection point. The coupled and coordination relationship between basic public services and economic development in Jiangsu Province is generally coordinated, but it also shows the regional differences between Southern Jiangsu, Central Jiangsu and Northern Jiangsu. In 2011-2013, the coupled coordination degree of 12 cities except Yangzhou rised in different degrees. Apart from the cities of Yangzhou and Zhenjiang, the coupled coordination of other 11 cities have shown an inflection point by 2014. Finally, this paper proposes the path strategy to promote the coupled coordinated development between basic public services and economic.
引文
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[2]樊杰.基于国家“十一五”规划解析经济地理学科建设的社会需求与新命题[J].经济地理,2006,26(4):545-550.
[3]皮灿,杨青山,明立波,等.马赛克式聚落景观下的广州市基本公共服务均等化研究[J].经济地理,2014,34(3)∶51-57.
[4]方茜.基于ISM的基本公共服务与区域经济发展关系研究[J].经济体制改革,2014(1):49-52.
[5]胡月,韩增林.我国省域经济发展与公共服务资源配置协调性评价[J].资源开发与市场,2014,30(8)∶952-956.
[6]韩增林,刘春涛,彭飞,等.山东省经济与基本公共服务协调发展的时空特征研究[J].辽宁师范大学学报:自然科学版,2016,39(3):410-417.
[7]张宇,韩增林,彭飞.东北地区经济发展与基本公共服务协调度时空格局[J].资源开发与市场,2016,32(6):673-678.
[8]刘春涛,韩增林,宫远山,等.环渤海地区经济发展与基本公共服务协调度评价[J].资源开发与市场,2015,31(9):1 052-1 056.
[9]高军波,付景保.河南省公共服务与经济发展相关性实证分析[J].信阳师范学院学报:自然科学版,2013,26(1):67-71.
[10]高军波,颜俊,张迁,等.河南省公共服务与经济发展协性动态评价[J].信阳师范学院学报:自然科学版,2015,28(2):186-190.
[11]蔡秀玲,乔术好.福建省基本公共服务与经济发展耦合协调度分析[J].福建论坛:人文社会科学版,2017(7):146-158.
[12]马慧强,王清.中国地级以上城市经济发展与基本公共服务协调性空间格局[J].干旱区资源与环境,2016,30(9):72-78.
[13]迟瑶,王艳慧,房娜.连片特困区贫困县农村基本公共服务与县域经济时空格局演变关系研究[J].地理研究,2016,35(7):1 243-1 258.
[14]林光祥,吕韬,彭路.广西基本公共服务与区域经济协调关系探讨[J].地域研究与开发,2017,36(3):22-28.
[15]姜涛,翟淼.区域经济发展与基本公共服务水平的实证分析[J].怀化学院学报,2014,33(1):28-31.
[16]郭士国,徐英奇.基本公共服务均等化与经济增长关系的实证分析[J].管理学刊,2011,24(4):66-70.
[17]熊振兴,李延均.空间集聚、区域收敛与基本公共服务均等化[J].广西财经学院学报,2012,12(3):57-62.
[18]匡小平,赵丹.县级基本公共服务供给与财政分权体质的关系研究[J].当代财经,2015(7):24-34.
[19]滕堂伟,林利剑.基本公共服务与经济发展水平的相关性分析[J].当代经济管理,2012,34(3):61-66.
[20]刘传明,张义贵,刘杰,等.城市综合交通可达性演变及其与经济发展协调度分析[J].经济地理,2011,31(12):2 028-2 033.
[21]王永明,马耀峰.城市旅游经济与交通发展耦合协调度分析——以西安市为例[J].陕西师范大学学报:自然科学版,2011,39(1):86-90.