旅游产业与社会发展耦合协调研究
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摘要
在"十三五"规划和供给侧结构性改革的战略背景下,旅游产业作为产业结构优化升级的突破点,对我国实现绿色、可持续发展具有举足轻重的作用。基于系统耦合理论,从协同角度研究了旅游产业与社会发展系统,并以我国31个省份为对象构建耦合协调度模型,对全国旅游产业与社会发展耦合协调进行了测度。结果表明:我国大部分省份旅游产业与社会发展的耦合协调值较低,多数省份耦合协调值虽然稳步上升,但仍处于不良耦合状态;各地区之间耦合协调程度差异明显,耦合协调度呈现出"东高西低、南高北低"的空间分布态势,发展方式呈现出以中部为中心,辐射中西部高速演变;在演化过程中,耦合协调系统类型呈现出"金字塔"向"橄榄核"模式的转变。
Under the strategic background of the 13 th Five-Year Plan and supply-side structural reform,tourism industry,as the breakthrough point of industrial structure optimization and upgrading,played an important role in achieving green and sustainable development of China. Based on the system coupling theory,this paper studied the tourism industry and social development system from the perspective of synergy,built a coupling coordination degree model for 31 provinces in China,and measured the coupling coordination between the national tourism industry and social development. The results showed that: The coupling coordination value of tourism industry and social development was low in most provinces and cities in China,although the coupling coordination value of most provinces increased steadily,it was still in a bad coupling state. There were obvious differences in the degree of coupling and coordination between different regions. The degree of coupling and coordination presented a spatial distribution situation of"east west high low,meteorological north low",and the development mode took the central part as the center and radiated to the central and western regions at a high speed. In the evolution process,the coupling coordination system type presented the transformation from "pyramid"to "olive core"mode.
Under the strategic background of the 13 th Five-Year Plan and supply-side structural reform,tourism industry,as the breakthrough point of industrial structure optimization and upgrading,played an important role in achieving green and sustainable development of China. Based on the system coupling theory,this paper studied the tourism industry and social development system from the perspective of synergy,built a coupling coordination degree model for 31 provinces in China,and measured the coupling coordination between the national tourism industry and social development. The results showed that: The coupling coordination value of tourism industry and social development was low in most provinces and cities in China,although the coupling coordination value of most provinces increased steadily,it was still in a bad coupling state. There were obvious differences in the degree of coupling and coordination between different regions. The degree of coupling and coordination presented a spatial distribution situation of"east west high low,meteorological north low",and the development mode took the central part as the center and radiated to the central and western regions at a high speed. In the evolution process,the coupling coordination system type presented the transformation from "pyramid"to "olive core"mode.
引文
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[3]Torres R,Momsen J H. Challenges and Potential for Linking Tourism and Agriculture to Achieve Pro-poor Tourism Objectives[J]. Progress in Development Studies,2004,(4)∶294-318.
[4]邓祝仁.旅游业对经济社会发展的促进作用及相关问题——以桂林旅游业的发展为例[J].旅游学刊,1998,(4)∶9-12.
[5]王丽娟.旅游业对经济社会发展的重要作用[J].理论探索,2005,(4)∶109-110.
[6]Lee C,Chien M. Structural Breaks,Tourism Development,and Economic Growth:Evidence from Taiwan[J]. Mathematics and Computers in Simulation,2008,77(4)∶358-368.
[7]李秋雨,朱麟奇,刘继生.中国旅游业对经济增长贡献的差异性研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2016,(4)∶73-79.
[8]李晟之.西部生态旅游投资与社会发展研究[J].经济体制改革,2006,(1)∶138-142.
[9]李经龙,陈冉,徐玉梅.旅游产业财政补贴、社会责任与经济绩效——来自中国A股旅游上市公司的经验证据[J].资源开发与市场,2014,(9)∶1130-1133.
[10]高楠,马耀峰,李天顺,等.基于耦合模型的旅游产业与城市化协调发展研究——以西安市为例[J].旅游学刊,2013,(1)∶62-68.
[11]杨宏.生态环境与旅游产业发展的门槛效应分析[J].统计与决策,2018,(21)∶146-149.
[12]魏庆芳.适应社会需要,培养应用型人才[J].旅游学刊,1991,(1)∶48-51.
[13]向艺,郑林,王成璋.有效市场规模、空间溢出与国内旅游业省际差异[J].旅游学刊,2016,(3)∶54-61.
[14]彭邦文,武友德,曹洪华,等.基于系统耦合的旅游业与新型城镇化协调发展分析——以云南省为例[J].世界地理研究,2016,(2)∶103-114.
[15]孙才志,姜坤,赵良仕.中国水资源绿色效率测度及空间格局研究[J].自然资源学报,2017,(12)∶1999-2011.
[16]舒良友,郭王进.华中地区生态文明、产业技术与经济发展耦合协调研究[J].资源开发与市场,2018,(7)∶941-946.
[17]付正义,涂建军,李小敏,等.我国经济发展的时空演变分析[J].经济地理,2016,(2)∶11-18.