环境规制对中国经济增长质量的影响研究
|
摘要
环境的资源稀缺性特点决定了经济增长与环境保护之间必然的矛盾;环境的公共物品属性决定了环境保护与生态治理应纳入政府规制的范畴。本文从经济增长的结构、效率、稳定性和持续性等四个维度构建指标体系,利用主成分分析法和熵权法分别测算中国经济增长的分维度质量指数和综合指数,同时构建计量模型着重分析环境规制对中国经济增长质量的影响,得出如下结论:①总体来看,加大环境规制强度对提升中国的经济增长质量具有显著且稳定的促进作用。但在分维度指数上存在明显的差异性,环境规制在一定程度上会促进经济增长质量效率维度和持续性维度的改善,而对结构维度和稳定性维度无显著的促进作用。②分区域来看,环境规制对中国经济增长质量的影响存在明显的区域异质性,即环境规制对中部地区的促进作用最为显著,其次为西部地区,而对东部地区无明显促进作用。③环境规制对中国经济增长质量会产生非线性的影响,即在环境规制强度较弱时,环境规制政策会促进经济增长质量的提高;但当环境规制强度提高到一定水平时,反而会在一定程度上抑制经济增长质量的提高。因此,在适宜的范围内增加环境规制强度,不仅有利于生态环境改善,还能提高要素生产率和能源利用率,促进经济高质量、可持续发展。
The scarcity of environmental resources causes the inevitable contradiction between economic growth and environmental protection. The attribute of environmental public goods determines that environmental protection and ecological governance should be enshrined in government regulation. This paper creates an index system from four dimensions: The structure,efficiency,stability and sustainability of economic growth. Principal component analysis and entropy weight method are used to calculate the sub-dimensional quality index and comprehensive index of China's economic growth. At the same time,an econometric model is built to analyze the impact of environmental regulation on the quality of China's economic growth,and then drawn the conclusions as following: ①On the whole,increasing the intensity of environmental regulation can prominent and stable promoting the quality of China's economic growth.However,there are obvious differences in the sub-dimensional index. To a certain extent,environmental regulation will play a promoter role in the improvement of the quality efficiency dimension and sustainability dimension of economic growth,yet it has no significant effect on the structural dimension and stability dimension. ② Regionally,there is obvious regional heterogeneity in the impact of environmental regulation on the quality of China's economic growth; that is to say,environmental regulation has largest effect on promoting the central region,followed by the western region. But it has little effect on facilitating the eastern region. ③Environmental regulation has a non-linear impact on the quality of China's economic growth. There is an inverted U-shaped dynamic relationship between them. When the intensity of environmental regulation is weak,environmental regulation policy can promote the improvement of economic growth quality. Whereas,it will restrain the improvement of economic growth quality to some extent when the intensity of environmental regulation raises to a certain level. Hence,increasing the intensity of environmental regulation in an appropriate range is not only conducive to the improvement of the ecological environment,but also can improve factor productivity and energy utilization rate as well as promote high-quality and sustainable economic development.
The scarcity of environmental resources causes the inevitable contradiction between economic growth and environmental protection. The attribute of environmental public goods determines that environmental protection and ecological governance should be enshrined in government regulation. This paper creates an index system from four dimensions: The structure,efficiency,stability and sustainability of economic growth. Principal component analysis and entropy weight method are used to calculate the sub-dimensional quality index and comprehensive index of China's economic growth. At the same time,an econometric model is built to analyze the impact of environmental regulation on the quality of China's economic growth,and then drawn the conclusions as following: ①On the whole,increasing the intensity of environmental regulation can prominent and stable promoting the quality of China's economic growth.However,there are obvious differences in the sub-dimensional index. To a certain extent,environmental regulation will play a promoter role in the improvement of the quality efficiency dimension and sustainability dimension of economic growth,yet it has no significant effect on the structural dimension and stability dimension. ② Regionally,there is obvious regional heterogeneity in the impact of environmental regulation on the quality of China's economic growth; that is to say,environmental regulation has largest effect on promoting the central region,followed by the western region. But it has little effect on facilitating the eastern region. ③Environmental regulation has a non-linear impact on the quality of China's economic growth. There is an inverted U-shaped dynamic relationship between them. When the intensity of environmental regulation is weak,environmental regulation policy can promote the improvement of economic growth quality. Whereas,it will restrain the improvement of economic growth quality to some extent when the intensity of environmental regulation raises to a certain level. Hence,increasing the intensity of environmental regulation in an appropriate range is not only conducive to the improvement of the ecological environment,but also can improve factor productivity and energy utilization rate as well as promote high-quality and sustainable economic development.
引文
[1]何强.要素禀赋、内在约束与中国经济增长质量[J].统计研究,2014(1):70-77.
[2]BERMAN E,BUI L T M. Environmental regulation and productivity:evidence from oil refineries[J]. Review of economics and statistics,2001,83(3):498-510.
[3]GRAY W B,SHADBEGIAN R J. Plant vintage,technology,and productivity, and environmental regulation[J]. Journal of environmental economics and management,2003,46(3):384-402.
[4]RAMANATHAN R, BLACK A, NATH P, et al. Impact of environmental regulations on innovation and performance in the UK industrial sector[J]. Management decision,2010,48(10):1493-1513.
[5]LANOIE P,PATRY M. Environmental regulation and productivity:new findings on the Porter Hypothesis[R]. 2001.
[6]蒋伏心,王竹君,白俊红.环境规制对技术创新影响的双重效应———基于江苏制造业动态面板数据的实证研究[J].中国工业经济,2013(7):44-55.
[7]李小平,卢现祥,陶小琴.环境规制强度是否影响了中国工业行业的贸易比较优势[J].世界经济,2012(4):62-78.
[8]张江雪,蔡宁,杨陈.环境规制对中国工业绿色增长指数的影响[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2015(1):24-31.
[9]赵可,张炳信,张安录.经济增长质量影响城市用地扩张的机理与实证[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2014(10):76-84.
[10]刘树成.论又好又快发展[J].经济研究,2007(6):4-13.
[11]钞小静,任保平.中国经济增长质量的时序变化与地区差异分析[J].经济研究,2011(4):26-40.
[12]刘燕妮,安立仁,金田林.经济结构失衡背景下的中国经济增长质量[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2014(2):20-35.
[13]王薇,任保平.我国经济增长数量与质量阶段性特征:1978-2014年[J].改革,2015(8):48-58.
[14]程虹,李丹丹.一个关于宏观经济增长质量的一般理论———基于微观产品质量的解释[J].武汉大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2014(3):79-86.
[15]JAFEETAL A B,PALMER J K. Environmental regulation and innovation:a panel data study[J]. Review of economics and statistics,1997,79(4):610-619.
[16]CHINTRAKAM P. Environmental regulation and U. S. states technical inefficiency[J]. Economics letters,2008,100(3):363-365.
[17]JORGENSON D J,WILCOXEN P J. Environmental regulation and U. S. economic growth[J]. The rand journal of economics,1990,21(2):314-340.
[18]POTER M,LINDE C. Toward a new conception of the environmentcompetitiveness relationship[J]. Journal of economic perspectives,1995,9(5):97-118.
[19]BRUNNERMEIER S,COHEN M. Determinants of environmental innovation in US manufacturing industries[J]. Journal of environmental economics and management,2003,45(4):278-293.
[20]MAZZANTI M,ZOBOLI R. Environmental efficiency and labor productivity:trade-off or joint dynamics? a theoretical investigation and empirical evidence from Italy using NAMEA[J]. Ecological economics,2009,68(3):1182-1194.
[21]赵霄伟.环境规制、环境规制竞争与地区工业经济增长———基于空间Durbin面板模型的实证研究[J].国际贸易问题,2014(7):82-92.
[22]张成,陆旸,郭路,等.环境规制强度和生产技术进步[J].经济研究,2011(2):113-124.
[23]吴明琴,周诗敏,陈家昌.环境规制与经济增长可以双赢吗———基于我国“两控区”的实证研究[J].当代经济科学,2016(6):44-54.
[24]熊艳.基于省际数据的环境规制与经济增长关系[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2011(5):126-131.
[25]王洪庆.人力资本视角下环境规制对经济增长的门槛效应研究[J].中国软科学,2016(6):52-61.
[26]原毅军,刘柳.环境规制与经济增长:基于经济型规制分类的研究[J].经济评论,2013(1):27-33.
[27]谢靖,廖涵.技术创新视角下环境规制对出口质量的影响研究———基于制造业动态面板数据的实证分析[J].中国软科学,2017(8):55-64.
[28]孙英杰,林春.试论环境规制与中国经济增长质量提升———基于环境库兹涅茨倒U型曲线[J].上海经济研究,2018(3):84-94.
[29]卡马耶夫.经济增长的速度和质量[M].武汉:湖北人民出版社,1983.
[30]刘亚建.我国经济增长效率分析[J].思想战线,2002(4):30-33.
[31]叶初升.发展经济学视野中的经济增长质量[J].天津社会科学,2014(2):98-103.
[32]樊纲,王小鲁,马光荣.中国市场化进程对经济增长的贡献[J].经济研究,2011(9):4-16.
[33]项俊波.中国经济结构失衡的测度与分析[J].管理世界,2008(9):1-11.
[34]支燕,白雪洁.我国高技术产业创新绩效提升路径研究———自主创新还是技术外取?[J].南开经济研究,2012(5):51-64.
[35]郝颖,辛清泉,刘星.地区差异、企业投资与经济增长质量[J].经济研究,2014(3):101-114.
[36]白俊红,王林东.创新驱动是否促进了经济增长质量的提升?[J].科学学研究,2016(11):1725-1735.
[37]郭熙保,罗知.外资特征对中国经济增长的影响[J].经济研究,2009(5):52-65.
[38]随洪光,刘延华. FDI是否提升了发展中东道国的经济增长质量———来自亚太、非洲和拉美地区的经验证据[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2014(11):3-20.
[39]程晨,李贺.环境规制与产业结构调整:一个非线性关系验证[J].河南社会科学,2018(8):84-89.
[40]范庆泉.环境规制、收入分配失衡与政府补偿机制[J].经济研究,2018(5):14-27.
[41]宋德勇,赵菲菲.环境规制、资本深化对劳动生产率的影响[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2018(7):159-167.
[42]陶长琪,李翠,王夏欢.环境规制对全要素能源效率的作用效应与能源消费结构演变的适配关系研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2018(4):98-108.
[43]吴静.环境规制能否促进工业“创造性破坏”———新熊彼特主义的理论视角[J].财经科学,2018(5):67-78.
[44]沈能,刘凤朝.高强度的环境规制真能促进技术创新吗?———基于“波特假说”的再检验[J].中国软科学,2012(4):49-59.
[45]唐建荣,杜娇娇,唐雨辰.环境规制下的区域物流效率可持续发展研究[J].经济与管理评论,2018(5):138-149.
[46]王群勇,陆凤芝.环境规制能否助推中国经济高质量发展?———基于省级面板数据的实证检验[J].郑州大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2018(6):64-70.
[2]BERMAN E,BUI L T M. Environmental regulation and productivity:evidence from oil refineries[J]. Review of economics and statistics,2001,83(3):498-510.
[3]GRAY W B,SHADBEGIAN R J. Plant vintage,technology,and productivity, and environmental regulation[J]. Journal of environmental economics and management,2003,46(3):384-402.
[4]RAMANATHAN R, BLACK A, NATH P, et al. Impact of environmental regulations on innovation and performance in the UK industrial sector[J]. Management decision,2010,48(10):1493-1513.
[5]LANOIE P,PATRY M. Environmental regulation and productivity:new findings on the Porter Hypothesis[R]. 2001.
[6]蒋伏心,王竹君,白俊红.环境规制对技术创新影响的双重效应———基于江苏制造业动态面板数据的实证研究[J].中国工业经济,2013(7):44-55.
[7]李小平,卢现祥,陶小琴.环境规制强度是否影响了中国工业行业的贸易比较优势[J].世界经济,2012(4):62-78.
[8]张江雪,蔡宁,杨陈.环境规制对中国工业绿色增长指数的影响[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2015(1):24-31.
[9]赵可,张炳信,张安录.经济增长质量影响城市用地扩张的机理与实证[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2014(10):76-84.
[10]刘树成.论又好又快发展[J].经济研究,2007(6):4-13.
[11]钞小静,任保平.中国经济增长质量的时序变化与地区差异分析[J].经济研究,2011(4):26-40.
[12]刘燕妮,安立仁,金田林.经济结构失衡背景下的中国经济增长质量[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2014(2):20-35.
[13]王薇,任保平.我国经济增长数量与质量阶段性特征:1978-2014年[J].改革,2015(8):48-58.
[14]程虹,李丹丹.一个关于宏观经济增长质量的一般理论———基于微观产品质量的解释[J].武汉大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2014(3):79-86.
[15]JAFEETAL A B,PALMER J K. Environmental regulation and innovation:a panel data study[J]. Review of economics and statistics,1997,79(4):610-619.
[16]CHINTRAKAM P. Environmental regulation and U. S. states technical inefficiency[J]. Economics letters,2008,100(3):363-365.
[17]JORGENSON D J,WILCOXEN P J. Environmental regulation and U. S. economic growth[J]. The rand journal of economics,1990,21(2):314-340.
[18]POTER M,LINDE C. Toward a new conception of the environmentcompetitiveness relationship[J]. Journal of economic perspectives,1995,9(5):97-118.
[19]BRUNNERMEIER S,COHEN M. Determinants of environmental innovation in US manufacturing industries[J]. Journal of environmental economics and management,2003,45(4):278-293.
[20]MAZZANTI M,ZOBOLI R. Environmental efficiency and labor productivity:trade-off or joint dynamics? a theoretical investigation and empirical evidence from Italy using NAMEA[J]. Ecological economics,2009,68(3):1182-1194.
[21]赵霄伟.环境规制、环境规制竞争与地区工业经济增长———基于空间Durbin面板模型的实证研究[J].国际贸易问题,2014(7):82-92.
[22]张成,陆旸,郭路,等.环境规制强度和生产技术进步[J].经济研究,2011(2):113-124.
[23]吴明琴,周诗敏,陈家昌.环境规制与经济增长可以双赢吗———基于我国“两控区”的实证研究[J].当代经济科学,2016(6):44-54.
[24]熊艳.基于省际数据的环境规制与经济增长关系[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2011(5):126-131.
[25]王洪庆.人力资本视角下环境规制对经济增长的门槛效应研究[J].中国软科学,2016(6):52-61.
[26]原毅军,刘柳.环境规制与经济增长:基于经济型规制分类的研究[J].经济评论,2013(1):27-33.
[27]谢靖,廖涵.技术创新视角下环境规制对出口质量的影响研究———基于制造业动态面板数据的实证分析[J].中国软科学,2017(8):55-64.
[28]孙英杰,林春.试论环境规制与中国经济增长质量提升———基于环境库兹涅茨倒U型曲线[J].上海经济研究,2018(3):84-94.
[29]卡马耶夫.经济增长的速度和质量[M].武汉:湖北人民出版社,1983.
[30]刘亚建.我国经济增长效率分析[J].思想战线,2002(4):30-33.
[31]叶初升.发展经济学视野中的经济增长质量[J].天津社会科学,2014(2):98-103.
[32]樊纲,王小鲁,马光荣.中国市场化进程对经济增长的贡献[J].经济研究,2011(9):4-16.
[33]项俊波.中国经济结构失衡的测度与分析[J].管理世界,2008(9):1-11.
[34]支燕,白雪洁.我国高技术产业创新绩效提升路径研究———自主创新还是技术外取?[J].南开经济研究,2012(5):51-64.
[35]郝颖,辛清泉,刘星.地区差异、企业投资与经济增长质量[J].经济研究,2014(3):101-114.
[36]白俊红,王林东.创新驱动是否促进了经济增长质量的提升?[J].科学学研究,2016(11):1725-1735.
[37]郭熙保,罗知.外资特征对中国经济增长的影响[J].经济研究,2009(5):52-65.
[38]随洪光,刘延华. FDI是否提升了发展中东道国的经济增长质量———来自亚太、非洲和拉美地区的经验证据[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2014(11):3-20.
[39]程晨,李贺.环境规制与产业结构调整:一个非线性关系验证[J].河南社会科学,2018(8):84-89.
[40]范庆泉.环境规制、收入分配失衡与政府补偿机制[J].经济研究,2018(5):14-27.
[41]宋德勇,赵菲菲.环境规制、资本深化对劳动生产率的影响[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2018(7):159-167.
[42]陶长琪,李翠,王夏欢.环境规制对全要素能源效率的作用效应与能源消费结构演变的适配关系研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2018(4):98-108.
[43]吴静.环境规制能否促进工业“创造性破坏”———新熊彼特主义的理论视角[J].财经科学,2018(5):67-78.
[44]沈能,刘凤朝.高强度的环境规制真能促进技术创新吗?———基于“波特假说”的再检验[J].中国软科学,2012(4):49-59.
[45]唐建荣,杜娇娇,唐雨辰.环境规制下的区域物流效率可持续发展研究[J].经济与管理评论,2018(5):138-149.
[46]王群勇,陆凤芝.环境规制能否助推中国经济高质量发展?———基于省级面板数据的实证检验[J].郑州大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2018(6):64-70.