安徽省新型城镇化与生态环境耦合测度研究
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摘要
依据新时代新型城镇化发展背景,构建新型城镇化及生态环境子系统结构模式,并采用综合指数法测度安徽省各市新型城镇化与生态环境表征值;运用变异系数耦合模型、热点分析工具及协同进化模型探查安徽省各市新型城镇化与生态环境耦合发展度时空分异规律。研究结果表明,2007-2016年安徽省16个地级市,(1)皖江城市带各市新型城镇化水平及其年均增长率较高。皖南池州、黄山、宣城及皖西六安生态环境水平增长速度较快。城镇化水平热点区域集中分布在皖江城市带。生态环境热点区域集中在皖南山区及皖西大别山区。(2)皖北及皖中部分城市耦合发展度较低;而皖江城市带耦合发展度较高。各市耦合发展度逐年递增速度滁州、池州最快;皖北城市普遍较低。合肥、马鞍山、铜陵一直保持显著热点区域。皖江城市带均达到较高等级;其他城市目前均已进入中等等级。(3)新型城镇化与生态环境发展增殖系数整体以正值为主,表征各市正处于新型城镇化发展与生态环境优化阶段。新型城镇化与生态环境发展竞合关系主体关系矩阵以双赢为主,表明二者协同共进特征确切。
According to the development background of new urbanization in the new era, this paper constructs a new urbanization and ecological environment subsystem structure model, and uses the comprehensive index method to measure the new urbanization and ecological environment representation values of Anhui Province. The coefficient of variation coupling model, hotspot analysis tool and co-evolution model are used to explore the temporal and spatial differentiation of the new urbanization and ecological environment coupling development degree in Anhui Province.The research results show that, among 16 prefecture-level cities in the Province from 2007 to 2016, the new urbanization level and the average annual growth rate of the cities in the Wanjiang City Belt are higher. The level of the ecological environment of Chizhou, Huangshan, Xuancheng in southen Anhui and Lu'an in west Anhui is growing at a faster rate.The urbanization level hotspots are concentrated in the Wanjiang City Belt. The eco-environmental hotspots are concentrated in the mountainous areas of southern Anhui and the Dabie Mountains in western Anhui. The coupling development degree of some cities in northern Anhui and central Anhui is relatively low. However, the coupling degree development of the Wanjiang City Belt is higher. The degree of coupling development is increasing yearly, and the increasing speed of Chizhou and Chuzhou is the fastest; the increasing speed of the cities in northern Anhui is generally low. Hefei, Ma'anshan and Tongling have always maintained significant hot spots. The Wanjiang City Belt has reached a higher level, other cities have now entered the medium level. The new urbanization and ecological environment development coefficient is mainly positive, indicating that each city is in the stage of new urbanization development and ecological environment optimization. The main relationship matrix between the new urbanization and the eco-environment development competition is based on a win-win situation, indicating that the two are synergistic.
According to the development background of new urbanization in the new era, this paper constructs a new urbanization and ecological environment subsystem structure model, and uses the comprehensive index method to measure the new urbanization and ecological environment representation values of Anhui Province. The coefficient of variation coupling model, hotspot analysis tool and co-evolution model are used to explore the temporal and spatial differentiation of the new urbanization and ecological environment coupling development degree in Anhui Province.The research results show that, among 16 prefecture-level cities in the Province from 2007 to 2016, the new urbanization level and the average annual growth rate of the cities in the Wanjiang City Belt are higher. The level of the ecological environment of Chizhou, Huangshan, Xuancheng in southen Anhui and Lu'an in west Anhui is growing at a faster rate.The urbanization level hotspots are concentrated in the Wanjiang City Belt. The eco-environmental hotspots are concentrated in the mountainous areas of southern Anhui and the Dabie Mountains in western Anhui. The coupling development degree of some cities in northern Anhui and central Anhui is relatively low. However, the coupling degree development of the Wanjiang City Belt is higher. The degree of coupling development is increasing yearly, and the increasing speed of Chizhou and Chuzhou is the fastest; the increasing speed of the cities in northern Anhui is generally low. Hefei, Ma'anshan and Tongling have always maintained significant hot spots. The Wanjiang City Belt has reached a higher level, other cities have now entered the medium level. The new urbanization and ecological environment development coefficient is mainly positive, indicating that each city is in the stage of new urbanization development and ecological environment optimization. The main relationship matrix between the new urbanization and the eco-environment development competition is based on a win-win situation, indicating that the two are synergistic.
引文
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[15]张引,杨庆媛,闵婕.重庆市新型城镇化质量与生态环境承载力耦合分析[J].地理学报,2016,71(5):817-828.Zhang Yin,Yang Qingyuan,Min Jie.An analysis of coupling between the bearing capacity of the ecological environment and the quality of new urbanization in Chongqing[J].Acta Geographica Sinic,2016,71(5):817-828.
[16]段进军,殷悦.多维视角下的新型城镇化内涵解读[J].苏州大学学报:哲学社会科学版,2014(5):38-43.Duan Jinjun,Yin Yue.Interpretation of the connotation of new urbanization from a multidimensional perspective[J].Journal of Soochow University:Philosophy and Social Science Edition,2014(5):38-43.
[17]曾志伟,汤放华,易纯,等.新型城镇化新型度评价研究――以环长株潭城市群为例[J].城市发展研究,2012,19(3):14.Zeng Zhiwei,Tang Fanghua,Yi Chun,et al.Evaluation on the new degree of new urbanization:a case of urban group surrounding Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan[J].Urban Studies,2012,19(3):14.
[18]安晓亮,安瓦尔买买提明.新疆新型城镇化水平综合评价研究[J].城市规划,2013,37(7):23-27.An Xiaoliang,Anwaer Maimaitiming.A study on new urbanization level evaluation index system of Xinjiang[J].Urban Planning,2013,37(7):23-27.
[19]王建康,谷国锋,姚丽,等.中国新型城镇化的空间格局演变及影响因素分析-基于285个地级市的面板数据[J].地理科学,2016,36(1):63-71.Wang Jiankang,Gu Guofeng,Yao Li,et al.Analysis of new urbanization's spatial pattern evolution and influence factors in China[J].Scientia Geographica Sinica,2016,36(1):63-71.
[20]余江,叶林.中国新型城镇化发展水平的综合评价:构建、测度与比较[J].武汉大学学报:哲学社会科学版,2018,71(2):145-156.Yu Jiang,Ye Lin.Evaluation index system of new-pattern urbanization in China:construction,measure and comparison[J].Journal of Wuhan University:Philosophy and Social Science Edition,2018,71(2):145-156.
[21]杨洋,黄聪,何春阳,等.山东半岛城市群新型城镇化综合水平的时空变化[J].经济地理,2017,37(8):77-85.Yang Yang,Huang Cong,He Chunyang,et al.The spatiotemporal dynamics of new-type urbanization comprehensive level in Shandong Peninsula urban agglomeration[J].Economic Geography,2017,37(8):77-85.
[22]王乃举,周涛发,黄翔.矿业城市人地系统脆弱性评价-以安徽铜陵市为例[J].华中师范大学学报:自然科学版,2012,46(6):774-779.Wang Naiju,Zhou Taofa,Huang Xiang.Evaluation on the vulnerability of the man-land system of a mining city-taking Tongling City as an example[J].Journal of Huazhong Normal University:Natural Science Edition,2012,46(6):774-779.
[23]王剑,薛东前,马蓓蓓,等.西北5省耕地集约利用与农业碳排放时空耦合关系研究[J].环境科学与技术,2019,42(1):211-217.Wang Jian,Xue Dongqian,Ma Beibei,et al.Study on spatial-temporal coupling relationship of cultivated land intensive use and agricultural carbon emission in five provinces of northwestern China[J].Environmental Science&Technology,2019,42(1):211-217.
[24]郭津津,樊守彬,王军玲,等.北京市机动车排放的空间聚类特征研究[J].环境科学与技术,2017,40(1):141-146.Guo Jinjin,Fan Shoubin,Wang Junling,et al.Spatial distribution cluster characteristics of vehicle emissions in Beijing[J].Environmental Science&Technology,2017,40(1):141-146.
[25]马向东,孙金华,胡震云.生态环境与社会经济复合系统的协同进化[J].水科学进展,2009,20(4):566-571.Ma Xiangdong,Sun Jinhua,Hu Zhenyun.Co-evolutionary study on the ecological environment and the social economy multiplexed system[J].Advances in Water Science,2009,20(4):566-571.
[2]方创琳,任宇飞.京津冀城市群地区城镇化与生态环境近远程耦合能值代谢效率及环境压力分析[J].中国科学:地球科学,2017,47(7):833-846.Fang Chuanglin,Ren Yufei.Analysis of emergy-based metabolic efficiency and environmental pressure on the local coupling and telecoupling between urbanization and the eco-environment in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration[J].Science China:Earth Science,2017,47(7):833-846.
[3]Sultan M,Fiske M,Stein T.Monitoring the urbanization of the Nile Delta,Egypt[J].Ambio,1999,28(7):8-31.
[4]Salman S.Inter-states water disputes in India:an analysis of the settlement process[J].Water Policy,2002,4(3):223-237.
[5]Buraka S,Do?An E,Gazio?Lu C.Impact of urbanization and tourism on coastal environment[J].Ocean&Coastal Management,2004(24):515-527.
[6]Grossman G M,Krueger A.Economic growth and the environment[J].Quarterly Journal of Economics,1995,110:253-377.
[7]曹雪琴.加快城市化与生态环境系统建设[J].经济经纬,2001(6):67-69.Cao Xueqin.Speeding-up urbanization and the construction of the ecosystem[J].Economic Survey,2001(6):67-69.
[8]黄金川,方创琳.城市化与生态环境交互耦合机制与规律性分析[J].地理研究,2003,22(2):211-220.Huang Jinchuan,Fang Chuanglin.Analysis of coupling mechanism and rules between urbanization and eco-environment[J].Geographical Research,2003,22(2):211-220.
[9]赵宏林,陈东辉.城市化与生态环境之关联耦合性分析-以上海市青浦区为例[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2008,18(6):174-177.Zhao Honglin,Chen Donghui.Study on conjunction and coupling between urbanization and eco-environment-in case of Qingpu District in Shanghai[J].China Population,Resource and Environment,2008,18(6):174-177.
[10]王少剑,方创琳,王洋.京津冀地区城市化与生态环境交互耦合关系定量测度[J].生态学报,2015.35(7):2244-2254.Wang Shaojian,Fang Chuanglin,Wang Yang.Quantitative investigation of the interactive coupling relationship between urbanization and eco-environment[J].Acta Ecologica Sinica,2015,35(7):2244-2254.
[11]刘巧婧,王莉红.城市化与生态环境耦合协调关系研究——以杭州市为例[J].环境科学学报,2018,38(10):4214-4222.Liu Qiaojing,Wang Lihong.Examination of a coupling coordination relationship between urbanization and the ecoenvironment:case study of Hangzhou[J].Acta Scientiae Circumstantiae,2018,38(10):4214-4222.
[12]刘耀彬,陈斐,李仁东.区域城市化与生态环境耦合发展模拟及调控策略-以江苏省为例[J].地理研究,2007,26(1):187-196.Liu Yaobin,Chen Fei,Li Rendong.Simulation of regional urbanization and eco-environment coupling and regulation policies:taking Jiangsu Province as a case[J].Geographical Research,2007,26(1):187-196.
[13]孙平军.1994-2011年江苏省城市化与生态环境非协调性耦合关系的判别[J].长江流域资源与环境,2014,23(8):1051-1056.Sun Pingjun.Identification of non-coordination between urbanization and ecological environment in Jiangsu Province during 1994-2011[J].Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin,2014,23(8):1051-1056.
[14]陈肖飞,郭建峰,姚士谋.长三角城市群新型城镇化与生态环境承载力耦合协调研究:基于利奥波德的大地伦理观思想[J].长江流域资源与环境,2018(4):715-724.Chen Xiaofei,Guo Jianfeng,Yao Shimou.Study on the coupling between ecological capacity and new urbanization in Yangtze River Delta Agglomeration:based on the Leopold's earth ethics[J].Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin,2018(4):715-724.
[15]张引,杨庆媛,闵婕.重庆市新型城镇化质量与生态环境承载力耦合分析[J].地理学报,2016,71(5):817-828.Zhang Yin,Yang Qingyuan,Min Jie.An analysis of coupling between the bearing capacity of the ecological environment and the quality of new urbanization in Chongqing[J].Acta Geographica Sinic,2016,71(5):817-828.
[16]段进军,殷悦.多维视角下的新型城镇化内涵解读[J].苏州大学学报:哲学社会科学版,2014(5):38-43.Duan Jinjun,Yin Yue.Interpretation of the connotation of new urbanization from a multidimensional perspective[J].Journal of Soochow University:Philosophy and Social Science Edition,2014(5):38-43.
[17]曾志伟,汤放华,易纯,等.新型城镇化新型度评价研究――以环长株潭城市群为例[J].城市发展研究,2012,19(3):14.Zeng Zhiwei,Tang Fanghua,Yi Chun,et al.Evaluation on the new degree of new urbanization:a case of urban group surrounding Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan[J].Urban Studies,2012,19(3):14.
[18]安晓亮,安瓦尔买买提明.新疆新型城镇化水平综合评价研究[J].城市规划,2013,37(7):23-27.An Xiaoliang,Anwaer Maimaitiming.A study on new urbanization level evaluation index system of Xinjiang[J].Urban Planning,2013,37(7):23-27.
[19]王建康,谷国锋,姚丽,等.中国新型城镇化的空间格局演变及影响因素分析-基于285个地级市的面板数据[J].地理科学,2016,36(1):63-71.Wang Jiankang,Gu Guofeng,Yao Li,et al.Analysis of new urbanization's spatial pattern evolution and influence factors in China[J].Scientia Geographica Sinica,2016,36(1):63-71.
[20]余江,叶林.中国新型城镇化发展水平的综合评价:构建、测度与比较[J].武汉大学学报:哲学社会科学版,2018,71(2):145-156.Yu Jiang,Ye Lin.Evaluation index system of new-pattern urbanization in China:construction,measure and comparison[J].Journal of Wuhan University:Philosophy and Social Science Edition,2018,71(2):145-156.
[21]杨洋,黄聪,何春阳,等.山东半岛城市群新型城镇化综合水平的时空变化[J].经济地理,2017,37(8):77-85.Yang Yang,Huang Cong,He Chunyang,et al.The spatiotemporal dynamics of new-type urbanization comprehensive level in Shandong Peninsula urban agglomeration[J].Economic Geography,2017,37(8):77-85.
[22]王乃举,周涛发,黄翔.矿业城市人地系统脆弱性评价-以安徽铜陵市为例[J].华中师范大学学报:自然科学版,2012,46(6):774-779.Wang Naiju,Zhou Taofa,Huang Xiang.Evaluation on the vulnerability of the man-land system of a mining city-taking Tongling City as an example[J].Journal of Huazhong Normal University:Natural Science Edition,2012,46(6):774-779.
[23]王剑,薛东前,马蓓蓓,等.西北5省耕地集约利用与农业碳排放时空耦合关系研究[J].环境科学与技术,2019,42(1):211-217.Wang Jian,Xue Dongqian,Ma Beibei,et al.Study on spatial-temporal coupling relationship of cultivated land intensive use and agricultural carbon emission in five provinces of northwestern China[J].Environmental Science&Technology,2019,42(1):211-217.
[24]郭津津,樊守彬,王军玲,等.北京市机动车排放的空间聚类特征研究[J].环境科学与技术,2017,40(1):141-146.Guo Jinjin,Fan Shoubin,Wang Junling,et al.Spatial distribution cluster characteristics of vehicle emissions in Beijing[J].Environmental Science&Technology,2017,40(1):141-146.
[25]马向东,孙金华,胡震云.生态环境与社会经济复合系统的协同进化[J].水科学进展,2009,20(4):566-571.Ma Xiangdong,Sun Jinhua,Hu Zhenyun.Co-evolutionary study on the ecological environment and the social economy multiplexed system[J].Advances in Water Science,2009,20(4):566-571.